Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Northern Ireland data:

0 deaths - was 0 last week

76 cases - was 64 last week

6% positivity - was 5% last week

5 Care home outbreaks - was 5 last week

639 Rolling 7 day cases total - was 619 last week

57 patients - down 5 over weekend - was 62 last week

3 ventilated - same over the weekend - was 5 last week
 
Northern Ireland cases by age group in past week:

0 - 19 (211) 33,0%

20 - 39 (238) 37.2%

40 - 59 (150) 23.5%

60 - 79 (31) 4.9%

80 PLUS (9) 1.4%


Over 80s in single figures across 7 days for the first time in 2021 and I think back to around August.

Only 6.3% over 60 testing positive the lowest I have ever seen. It was near 30% just after Christmas.

And under 40s over 70% is the highest this has ever been.

You can see very clearly these numbers have been edging up virtually every time I post one of these reports.

It seems fairly clear the main reason for the widening gap is the downward track of age related administration of the vaccine.
 
So Total deaths today are 7 with little to add on weekend data and likely at least one of the England ones to be removed. Last week it was 3. Todays 4 from Wales are the difference. There was no Monday Welsh data last week.

And cases are 348 for the three nations today versus 196 without Wales for 2 days - but last week that would have only been around 100. So cases will be up a little week to week.
 
Boris briefing on at 4.30 for 5 pm (I assume) BBC 1

On easing restrictions.

And downgrading of Covid risk status today in UK.
 
4 all settings deaths

2357 cases - bit of a rise as Zoe predicted - from 1649 last Monday. Biggest week to week in a while.

Even well up on 2064 Monday before (2 weeks ago). Think we can guess where it will be coming from. Hopefully not.

Tests are WAY up though.

1, 306, 781 pillar 1 & 2 versus just 475, 922 yesterday - biggest gulf day to day I recall.

Last Monday it was also only 815, 000 tests.

But it was 1.45 million the Monday before for that 2064.
 
4 all settings deaths

2357 cases - bit of a rise as Zoe predicted - from 1649 last Monday. Biggest week to week in a while.

Even well up on 2064 Monday before (2 weeks ago). Think we can guess where it will be coming from. Hopefully not.

Tests are WAY up though.

1, 306, 781 pillar 1 & 2 versus just 475, 922 yesterday - biggest gulf day to day I recall.

Last Monday it was also only 815, 000 tests.

But it was 1.45 million the Monday before for that 2064.
UK now averaging single figure daily deaths which is pretty good. Hospital numbers still falling.
 
As expected the North West is the main driver of the big rise. BUT today Greater Manchester was not the worst culprit as it has been of late.

NW is now well ahead as the highest region on its highest numbers in a month - 410. Nearly 100 over Yorkshire in second.

NW rise day to day was 118 and week to week 186. Biggest week to week rise for quite some time.

However, GM only rose day to day by 18 of the 118 NW rise today so it was elsewhere (places like Chorley and East Lancashire).

And week to week GM is up by quite a bit - 64 from 140 last Monday to 204 today Which is only beaten by 3 days ago as the highest GM number in a month or two. But that 64 is well below expectations (of about 90) as the NW rose week to week by 186,

So you would have to call it a good day.

Bolton was only slightly better - still miles ahead on 89 from Manchester on just 30. So again Bolton almost on its own drove the big rise in numbers in the county.

Trafford was back up a little as was Rochdale - both on 18. Wigan a little too on 16.

But the other 5 boroughs were all single figures - including Stockport on 9. And Bury and Tameside on 4 each still doing really well.

All in all an OK day if you do not live in Bolton.

Cases were always going to rise as we eased off. Nothing to be concerned about so far as it is clear they are mostly young people catching it yet to be reached by the vaccine and unlikely to get very sick or die.

So it is more a casedemic than a pandemic at the moment.
 
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England Weekend Hospital Data surprisingly OK news too.

North West actually fell the most in patients and ventilators across the three days. Yorkshire did well too.

Not big drops in either case but NW fell every day by small numbers and now has only 16 on ventilators.

Southern regions actually rose to depress the overall fall to a small one. London and South West up on patients and ventilators across the weekend. Though not by much.

The end result is England patients fell from 973 Friday to 944 today. And ventilators from 145 to 135

Admissions too were ALL below three figures at 88 - 77 - 80 It is now heading for two weeks of sub 100 daily admissions. It was in four figures daily at the peak in January.
 
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