Coronavirus (2021) thread

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The only way they can introduce an effective lockdown is if Boris Johnson resigns.

I’m fully jabbed and have complied with rules but there’s an inescapable problem here which is people will not take orders from “leaders” who don’t comply themselves.

We’re told to trust the experts, but then we see the experts like Neil Ferguson breaking lockdown rules and we see politicians not just breaking rules but basically riding roughshod over them countless times through piss ups in Westminster.

I completely understand the need to contain this virus but the situation is now untenable in terms of the general population being convinced to curtail their own lives by people who refuse to curtail their own.

They’re so out of touch and arrogant that they just can’t understand the feelings of the general public (as an example see the advice this week for people to prioritise things that really matter and avoid going to football matches).

They’re so out of touch that they genuinely think they can lock people down again but they’re in for a shock because people simply won’t do it. If there is widespread refusal to comply then they’re going to have to adopt a very different approach - whether that’s mandated jabs at one extreme or just get on with life at the other.
At the end of the day it is a shit show. But simply doing as you please because the Government did isn't going to help things.

Yes, Boris et al have a lot to answer for but when you have Joe public making their own decisions on how to combat the pandemic, then we have truly lost it.
 
Here are the day to day London patients over the last 2 weeks:-

1069 - 1057 - 1087 - 1102 - 1134 - 1136 - 1163 - 1193 - 1185 - 1253 - 1360 - 1349 - 1372 - 1460 - 1534.

You do not need to be a mathematician to see where Omicron became a factor in driving these up and that was not after more than at most a few days if that.

Where they go over the next week will quickly tell us what will happen everywhere else and if we really are in big trouble.

London Cases in that same period went from 6741 two weeks ago to 9988 a week ago to (in the last three days of that big patient rise) from 12,832 to 26,608 yesterday - easily the most cases now any region has ever had in one day in the whole pandemic.

For context North West is currently up too but only risen a fraction of that rise in the past few days and just under a quarter of the London total (7999).

Sorry for data in here but it is important in pointing up what to look out for around your discussion being had here to tell us where we will be over Christmas with regards to the NHS numbers.

The only thing that really matters right now as to what politicians may do.
 
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At the end of the day it is a shit show. But simply doing as you please because the Government did isn't going to help things.

Yes, Boris et al have a lot to answer for but when you have Joe public making their own decisions on how to combat the pandemic, then we have truly lost it.

Im not disagreeing mate. I’m just saying that it doesn’t matter what I think, the reality is that lockdowns are no longer tenable due to the behaviour of the people in government and Sage.
 
The only way they can introduce an effective lockdown is if Boris Johnson resigns.

I’m fully jabbed and have complied with rules but there’s an inescapable problem here which is people will not take orders from “leaders” who don’t comply themselves.

We’re told to trust the experts, but then we see the experts like Neil Ferguson breaking lockdown rules and we see politicians not just breaking rules but basically riding roughshod over them countless times through piss ups in Westminster.

I completely understand the need to contain this virus but the situation is now untenable in terms of the general population being convinced to curtail their own lives by people who refuse to curtail their own.

They’re so out of touch and arrogant that they just can’t understand the feelings of the general public (as an example see the advice this week for people to prioritise things that really matter and avoid going to football matches).

They’re so out of touch that they genuinely think they can lock people down again but they’re in for a shock because people simply won’t do it. If there is widespread refusal to comply then they’re going to have to adopt a very different approach - whether that’s mandated jabs at one extreme or just get on with life at the other.
At this point widespread breaking of rules would be expected, but ultimately widespread breaking of rules is you going to your mate Dave's. Offices, schools, pubs, clubs, hospitality etc would still reduce social contacts by some margin. If you work in an office with 20 people, you'd have to visit them individually for breakfast, lunch and dinner to reproduce the same effect. Not saying it's the right or wrong response, but people breaking the rules will be neither here nor there in the grand scheme of things.
 
Sage predicting 3000 hospital admissions a day. A little bit down on their best case autumn scenario of 2000 to 7000 a day which never materilised I see.
So if the modelers have done their usual then it will be about a 1000 a day.
That is what I and many others now expect it to be due to there constant over-egging of the pudding.
Continually crying wolf has implications for folks believing SAGE modelling and the acceptance of restrictions.
 
At this point widespread breaking of rules would be expected, but ultimately widespread breaking of rules is you going to your mate Dave's. Offices, schools, pubs, clubs, hospitality etc would still reduce social contacts by some margin. If you work in an office with 20 people, you'd have to visit them individually for breakfast, lunch and dinner to reproduce the same effect. Not saying it's the right or wrong response, but people breaking the rules will be neither here nor there in the grand scheme of things.

yeah it’s a fair point. Also worth considering though that in public / work spaces there are covid safety measures in place - people will now be meeting in places where there aren’t.
 
Then you are talking about different things. We are all of us drawn to negative stories, part of our instinct to recognise danger so as to be able to survive.

What you seem to be objecting to is posters who appear to you to be only highlighting stories/data that is negative and posting it on here, and you are then suggesting that they are doing so deliberately and revelling in the discomfort that creates.
Yes bang on, i think they do. And enjoy the attention too
 
I had Pfizer booster in Altrincham on Thursday. (After 2 X AZ).

No reaction at all. I see more people I know getting a mild reaction to the Moderna. No idea why
 
yeah it’s a fair point. Also worth considering though that in public / work spaces there are covid safety measures in place - people will now be meeting in places where there aren’t.
Yes, though I get the sense that they've become a bit slacker, understandably so. My hope is we can get out of this with a light circuit breaker until the first week of Jan, maybe push schools and unis back a week, with table service in pubs. Given most people tend to hibernate for the first week of Jan anyway it might not be materially that much of a difference. I do feel for clubs, though, they're such an important part of Manchester and have got an absolute kicking.
 
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