Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Sadly bad day for Greater Manchester and clearly now the UK epicentre of cases.

Bolton up to scarily big numbers but other predictions from Zoe too starting to come to roost. Wigan and Tameside up big week to week and Stockport highest in some days.

Highest GM total in months at 260 - up 56 on yesterday and a whopping 107 on last Monday.

The NW total actually FELL by 8 day to day so that 56 is all on GM and some.

And the 107 is from a 154 NW increase week to week which is well over what GM should score as a percentage of that number.
 
Regional Cases Today



Cases show up or down on yesterday and the v number is versus 7 days ago.



SOUTH

East down 23 to 173 v 158

London UP 79 to 352 v 216

South East DOWN 171 to 233 v 182 - Big fall.

South West down 7 to 115 v 127







MIDLANDS

East down `14 to 176 v 169

West down 2 to 164 v 152



NORTH

North East up 24 to 101 v 84


Yorkshire down 4 to 315 v 295 (Still behind the North West)




NORTH WEST down 8 to 402 v 248.

Little change. Still top score in UK


GREATER MANCHESTER

Up 56 day to day to 260. Highest in some weeks. And big chunk of the 402. Well over par.
 
Greater Manchester Cases


260 cases today - up 56 on yesterday. From 402 North West cases.




Bolton - big rise of 27 to top the hundred at 116 - up by a scary 72 on last week. Pop score rise today was 40 - biggest yet and most by anyone in GM for months


Manchester up 5 to 35 which is up 5 from last week too. But a very long way behind Bolton.

Tameside up a staggering 24 in day to 28 which is up 22 on last week.

Wigan also up by 6 on day to 22 - which is up 14 wk to wk.

Stockport also up big by 10 to 19 which is up 5 week to week. First hint of Zoe being right maybe.

Rochdale down 7 on 11 - which is up 2 week to week.

Trafford down 8 to 10 - down 1 wk to wk.



Meaning that the other 3 boroughs stay in single figures today:

Bury up 3 to 7 which is down 3 wk to wk. But not top today.

Salford down 2 also to 7 which is down 8 on last wk.

And top spot today to: Manchester City

oops sorry he he


Oldham down 2 to 5 also - which is 1 down wk to wk.


Weekly total cases:-

Bolton tops 500 weekly cases more than double Manchester and 6 times most of the rest. Bury still easily in the lead now on 39 - the lowest GM weekly cases by anyone in 8 months.

But weekly numbers in several boroughs are rising. Now four over 100 and Stockport close to making it five.


Bury 39, Oldham 65, Trafford 72, Tameside 76, Salford 77. Stockport 92, Wigan 102, Rochdale 112, Manchester 230, Bolton 556.
 
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Greater Manchester Cases


260 cases today - up 56 on yesterday. From 402 North West cases.




Bolton - big rise of 27 to top the hundred at 116 - up by a scary 72 on last week. Pop score rise today was 40 - biggest yet and most by anyone in GM for months


Manchester up 5 to 35 which is up 5 from last week too. But a very long way behind Bolton.

Tameside up a staggering 24 in day to 28 which is up 22 on last week.

Wigan also up by 6 on day to 22 - which is up 14 wk to wk.

Stockport also up big by 10 to 19 which is up 5 week to week. First hint of Zoe being right maybe.

Rochdale down 7 on 11 - which is up 2 week to week.

Trafford down 8 to 10 - down 1 wk to wk.



Meaning that the other 3 boroughs stay in single figures today:

Bury up 3 to 7 which is down 3 wk to wk. But not top today.

Salford down 2 also to 7 which is down 8 on last wk.

And top spot today to: Manchester City

oops sorry he he


Oldham down 2 to 5 also - which is 1 down wk to wk.


Weekly total cases:-

Bolton tops 500 weekly cases more than double Manchester and 6 times most of the rest. Bury still easily in the lead now on 39 - the lowest GM weekly cases by anyone in 8 months.

But weekly numbers in several boroughs are rising. Now four over 100 and Stockport close to making it five.


Bury 39, Oldham 65, Trafford 72, Tameside 76, Salford 77. Stockport 92, Wigan 102, Rochdale 112, Manchester 230, Bolton 556.
2 in 3 days for Oldham it's been a long time even after getting my first jab in February that I feel I can take a little time in the supermarket instead of 'running around' to get out of an enclosed space first thing in the morning.

Hopefully the battle is almost over and we can get back to a new normal soon.
 
Had my 2nd Pfizer today, forgot I had it done (!!), got caught up in the moment and opened the bubbly. What harm can that do?
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.




Bolton 193 / 84 / UP 109 Testing positive 9.4%

Rochdale 50 / 35 / UP 15 Testing positive 9.7%

Manchester 42 / 33 / UP 9 Testing positive 9.7%

Tameside 33 / 21 UP 12 Testing positive 8.2

Stockport 31 / 23 / UP 8 Testing positive 7.2%

Wigan 31 / 24 / UP 7 Testing positive 8.9%

Trafford 30 / 45 / DOWN 15 Testing positive 7.0 %

Salford 29 / 36 / DOWN 7 Testing positive 9.0%

Oldham 28 / 28 LEVEL Testing positive 9.8%

Bury 20 / 24 / DOWN 4 Testing positive 9.1%



Bolton still climbing miles above the rest 143 ahead of second and another 2021 record high weekly rise of 109. Cannot recall the last three figure weekly Pop rise.

Stockport as Zoe App predicted still creeping up showing what Zoe suggested. But it is falling on Zoe now so may not go much higher.

Manchester has also been edging up a tad like Stockport but Rochdale at the moment the 'closest' to Bolton - as in miles away.

Wigan too has started to edge up a little worryingly and had its highest score in a while today like Stockport.

Oldham and Bury are top of the tree and doing well right now.

But Trafford has slowly reasserted itself to slip down the table (which is good in Pop table not bad) with Salford too doing much the same.
 
Novavax delayed by manufacturing and quality issues.

Puts criticism of AstraZeneca in perspective.

Excellent evidence for the AZ Court case in Belgium then.
 
Pfizer this earlier this afternoon for me, feel fine. nothing to report.

So, cases are indeed back on their merry way upwards. Now we have to keep an eye on hospitalisation rates.

Top graph = 7 day moving average of cases per region (by specimen date)
Bottom chart = On the day cases per NW area (by specimen date)

The bad thing about the top chart is that the lines in the grey area will only ever go up as data is added in the coming days.

covid_rates_REGIONAL.png

covid_rates_NW.png
 
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