Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Scotland data:

0 deaths - was 0 last week

161 cases - was 168 last week

1.6% positivity - was 1.6% last week

68 patients - up 4 since Friday - was 72 last week

3 Ventilated icu - same as Friday - was 6 last week
 
Northern Ireland data:

1 death - was 0 last week

82 cases - was 76 last week

6.6% positivity - was 6.0% last week

3 Care Home outbreaks - down 1 on Friday - was 5 last week

Rolling 7 day cases total 616 - was 676 Friday and 639 last week

32 patients - down 7 on Friday - was 57 last week

2 Ventilated - down 1 on Friday - was 3 last week

Really good numbers here again.
 
So that is 5 deaths today with just England out of hospital to come - often none on Monday.

Last week it was 7

And 334 cases from the 3 nations with England to come (and caveat that Wales is for 48 hours)

Last week it was 348 cases (also with double day cases from Wales)
 
roubaixtuesday said:
Latest national and regional data on prevalence of the India variant.

Still growing strongly across all regions at 9th May.

Implication of this, I think is that the plateau in case numbers may be *entirely* due to this variant, we would have seen a continuing decrease otherwise.

Also, and much more concerning, that as the Kent variant did, this hidden growth will now become apparent once it's grown enough to be dominant.

A significant relaxation today brings with it the prospect of a further speeding of that growth.

All of which explains the caution behind the messaging on today's opening up.

Click to expand...


Interesting, so the other variants are vanishingly small, in comparison. The Indian variant, as we all sort of knew, is our chief concern now and raises its ugly head just in the weeks running up to our biggest rule relaxations. Bad timing and will cause a lot of consternation in the population, should it grow into a hospital threat.

At the moment i still dont have a feeling for the latter. I think by the end of the week we'll know a bit more....
 
Can't help but feel these next 2/3 weeks are absolutely crucial. Let's be honest - vast majority of this country is going to be acting relatively normally now. Visiting friends indoors, going restaurants/pubs, back in the office at work etc. If it's going to spike, it's now that it's likely going to happen. If in three weeks we're sat here with that new variant relatively under control and admissions and cases still very low, then really... well we're likely gonna be okay.
 
shemnel said:
Interesting, so the other variants are vanishingly small, in comparison. The Indian variant, as we all sort of knew, is our chief concern now and raises its ugly head just in the weeks running up to our biggest rule relaxations. Bad timing and will cause a lot of consternation in the population, should it grow into a hospital threat.

At the moment i still dont have a feeling for the latter. I think by the end of the week we'll know a bit more....
Click to expand...
Have we seen any spike in hospitalisation, given that the Indian variant has been about and spreading for a while?

I thought hospital admissions had also plateaued below 100 a day.
 
twosips said:
Can't help but feel these next 2/3 weeks are absolutely crucial. Let's be honest - vast majority of this country is going to be acting relatively normally now. Visiting friends indoors, going restaurants/pubs, back in the office at work etc. If it's going to spike, it's now that it's likely going to happen. If in three weeks we're sat here with that new variant relatively under control and admissions and cases still very low, then really... well we're likely gonna be okay.
Click to expand...

Yeah thats my thinking, if in 3/4 weeks we're not seeing a big hospitalisation increase ( there will be some. but how big ) than we're all good I feel.
 
unicorn said:
Have we seen any spike in hospitalisation, given that the Indian variant has been about and spreading for a while?

I thought hospital admissions had also plateaued below 100 a day.
Click to expand...

The Indian variant has only taken hold in Bolton in the last week or so, if a spike happens it will start soon.

All eyes will be on Bolton for the next 2/3 weeks thats for sure.
 
Would imagine the final restrictions won’t lifted on schedule but really can’t see us ever going back into lockdowns we’ve previously had
 
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