Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Johnson has only now decided to use the Army to help roll out the vaccine? It was obvious to many on here that this was likely to be needed, hes just making it up as he goes along.

They clearly had few viable plans in place to vaccinate millions, yet they have known for months this day was coming. Shambolic!

I haven't seen that, but I agree.

This is a job for organised logistics people, and it's unreasonable to expect health administrators to do it.
 
I think we should start a new measure to monitor now.

Deaths per day v cases per day.

This SHOULD start to fall under the influence of the vaccine.

It will be the main way to check visually if it is.

Suggestion: Look at age of deaths as a surrogate for vaccine impact.

Deaths vs cases has a big lag and both are quite erratic day by day. But vaccine rollout is by age, should give a very direct impact.
 
Suggestion: Look at age of deaths as a surrogate for vaccine impact.

Deaths vs cases has a big lag and both are quite erratic day by day. But vaccine rollout is by age, should give a very direct impact.
I post the England hospital age range numbers every day so tracking changes there will be obvious.

But they are in limited bands - 0 - 19, 20 - 39. 40 - 59, 60 - 79 and 80+

And when I can get them the N Ireland data too - but in the same age ranges above.

Especially problematic as the vaccination bands are narrower and only 70 upwards for now.

If anyone has access to better daily data they can easily calculate the DvC that way and post it.

Would be very illuminating I agree.
 
Birmingham about to run out of Pfizer vaccine, and have no delivery of AZ vaccine. They want to know why.

Hancock goes to GP in London to promote the vaccine, but they don't have any yet!
 
I post the England hospital age range numbers every day so tracking changes there will be obvious.

But they are in limited bands - 0 - 19, 20 - 39. 40 - 59, 60 - 79 and 80+

And when I can get them the N Ireland data too - but in the same age ranges above.

Especially problematic as the vaccination bands are narrower and only 70 upwards for now.

If anyone has access to better daily data they can easily calculate the DvC that way and post it.

Would be very illuminating I agree.

Tracking % 80+ would give a very good indication of vaccine impact I think.
 
Think it will be best as you say to look just at the over 80s as the DvC is too fluid day to day to be meaningful. Over 80s will be the key.

% of deaths in that age range should noticeably fall.

And the England hospital deaths will be the easiest visual monitor there.
 
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