Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Based on my own experience the care sector is struggling like most to recruit staff. It's never been a glamorous choice anyway but the recent year or so has possibly put people off even more so.
Ones where I worked in and I workEd in a lot are awful places and the staff bloody do a good job , care homes can’t get staff
 
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-





Tameside 414, Oldham 432, Rochdale 498, Trafford 531 , Bury 592, Stockport 593, Bolton 774, Wigan 862, Salford 864, Manchester 1792.



Manchester still more than double Bolton and Salford though it fell in weekly numbers for first time in 2 weeks and Wigan almost became second in weekly cases total just 2 behind Salford. With Salford now. Manchester thoufh reduced th lead to below 1000 which is a start.

Stockport's good few days sees it fall back now to just 1 behind Bury and sub 600 for first time in a while.

Nobody now under 400.
 
Not really. Alpha (UK//Kent) was spotted exponentially increasing in early December. Its effect was worked out on 18th December confirmed on Dec 26th and lock down occurred on Jan 4(?).
The confirmation of the effect of Delta occurred on Monday.
Delta really isn't in the same ball park thanks to vaccination. Indeed it looks like deaths won't increase that much (if at all) and if the current pattern continues for 2 weeks we should open up and let it rip so it's all over and done with very quickly.

it was 1st detected from samples from September so had been spreading for a while before official identification etc.

late Nov for detection and the start of the growth when it was already in most of the south east.
 
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it was 1st detected from samples from September so had been spreading for a while before official identification etc.

late Nov for detection and the start of the growth when it was already in most of the south east.
Alpha was first detected in September. Delta was first detected in late March.
No real difference in the timelines. Just the effect - even though Delta is more infectious - as we have achieved massive protection from vaccination and 2nd wave infection.
 
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GM Weekly Pop Data after today:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.


Salford 334 / 287 / UP 47 Testing positive 9.9%

Manchester 324 / 271 / UP 53 Testing positive 10.6%

Bury 310 / 229 / UP 81 Testing positive 9.9%

Bolton 269 / 324 / DOWN 55 Testing positive 11.2%

Wigan 262 / 199 / UP 63 Testing positive 9.5%

Trafford 224 / 182 / UP 42 Testing positive 7.6%

Rochdale 224 / 183 / UP 41 Testing positive 10.3 %

Stockport 202 / 234 / DOWN 32 Testing positive 7.8%

Oldham 183 / 136 / UP 47 Testing positive 10.3%

Tameside 182 / 132 / UP 50 Testing positive 8.6%


Salford back on top after big fall by Manchester and Bury now also in the 300s but the rise has all but stopped.
Last month's once worst in the UK Bolton now just fourth highest Pop Score in GM. And Wigan almost knocked it down to 5th and may well do so tomorrow.

Stockport's good run almost took them below 200.

Trafford and Rochdale pulled furrther ahead of Stockport

Oldham and Tameside neck and neck fo best score though 182 is a pretty high lowest number stull,

Stockport's success has also see it regularly eat into Trafford's lead for overall Pop Score across the pandemic which Trafford took over just before Delta arrived. It got up to near 200 but Stockport;s good run and Trafford being up a bit lately has seen that cut day by day in small doses.

Trafford is still easily top on 7639 but Stockport on 7800,


Bolton unsurprisingly now has the highest GM Pop Score on 11, 156. Nobody else is yet in the 11,000 club with it

However, there are 3 boroighs in the 10,000 club - Manchester on 10, 557. Rochdale on 10, 278 and Oldham having quite a scrap to match its numbers on 10, 272.

Salford and Bury are in a race to be the next to join the 10 K club - on track to be members within the next 3 to 5 days at current numbers. Salford on 9893. Bury on 9884. Hopefully it will take longer if the slow down continues.

Wigan on current numbers at 9549 is maybe two weeks away,

Trafford and Stockport are obviously a long way off and may never get there before we stop counting. Tameside possibly too - at 8606 well ahead of those two and probably also not getting there this side of winter anyway.
 
GM VACCINE UPDATE:


Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY



BOLTON 74.2% / 52.0 % V 74.0 / 51.8%

BURY 75.0% / 53.8% V 74.4% / 53.7%

MANCHESTER 55.6% / 33.0% V 55.3% / 32.7%

OLDHAM 69.0% / 50.2% V 68.8% / 49.8%

ROCHDALE 71.5% / 49.2% V 71.4% / 48.8%

SALFORD 62.2 % / 41. 9% V 61.6% / 41.8%

STOCKPORT 78.2% / 57.3% V 78.1% / 56.9%

TAMESIDE 73.5% / 52.8 % V 73.4% / 52.5%

TRAFFORD 75.5% / 54.2% V 75.1% / 53.8%

WIGAN 77.2% / 56.2% V 76.7% / 56.0%
 
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