Coronavirus (2021) thread

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

Yes sadly most will be too frail for the treatment techniques used in ICU.

This will be an issue with the icu capacity problem, this probably won’t go down until vaccinations have moved down into the lower age group.

I know it’s a big statement from Boris about the vaccinations but if it comes off we should start seeing a much improved situation by early April.sadly there could be another 30,000 plus deaths before then.

Hopefully the vaccine programme will run relatively smoothly. Fingers crossed.

 

[lancs blue]

I reckon the tests are too mate.

My Mrs and mother in law got positive tests and I got negative.

There’s no way I didn’t have it and my Mrs did.

Right, well I hope your stepmum feels better soon.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

There’s clearly an under reporting of cases or less testing to be getting those death figures from the reported cases.

I never said they weren’t doing better than us overall but the current daily death numbers are just as shocking.

I don't know anything more about the German figures than the headline numbers. Happy to learn more if you can post links.

CFR (deaths/ reported cases) varies very widely between countries dependent on testing policy and reporting practice eg Denmark tests far more than anyone else.

 

[Ban-jani]

Right, well I hope your stepmum feels better soon.

Thank you

 

[DenisLawBackHeel74]

My stepmother had antibodies 3 months ago.

She’s now ill having caught it off my dad for a 2nd time.

She’s been in bed this week with it.

Unless there’s a problem with the antibody test (there isn’t) or the Covid test itself (possible but unlikely), then you can definitely get it again and be ill with it.

Hope she makes a full recovery mate.

 

[Ban-jani]

I don't know anything more about the German figures than the headline numbers. Happy to learn more if you can post links.

CFR (deaths/ reported cases) varies very widely between countries dependent on testing policy and reporting practice eg Denmark tests far more than anyone else.

It’s why, whilst Germany may well have dealt with it better than we have, I have always been sceptical of drawing comparisons from the numbers.

Similarly with Spain, it’s a grim topic but is important, don’t they count their deaths differently and are more strict when Covid can be mentioned?

 

[roubaixtuesday]

I know it’s a big statement from Boris about the vaccinations but if it comes off we should start seeing a much improved situation by early April.sadly there could be another 30,000 plus deaths before then.

Modelling seems to suggest 30,000 would be at the most optimistic possible end of projections, alas. Depends on our behaviour, of course.

30,000- 88,000 range projected by this so far very reliable model here.

 

[Ban-jani]

Hope she makes a full recovery mate.

Thank you

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

Modelling seems to suggest 30,000 would be at the most optimistic possible end of projections, alas. Depends on our behaviour, of course.

30,000- 88,000 range projected by this so far very reliable model here.

Yes I thought it may be worse. Just hoping this lockdown helps.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

It’s why, whilst Germany may well have dealt with it better than we have, I have always been sceptical of drawing comparisons from the numbers.

Similarly with Spain, it’s a grim topic but is important, don’t they count their deaths differently and are more strict when Covid can be mentioned?

Excess deaths rather than official death numbers are generally seen as the most reliable comparator. By that measure, I think we were the worst in Europe first wave, don't have a ready reference though.