Coronavirus (2021) thread

[roubaixtuesday]

Yes I thought it may be worse. Just hoping this lockdown helps.

That model is assuming this lock down is effective... it would be far worse without.

 

[marco]

My niece, who is a GP, reckoned the antibody tests were only 60-70% accurate and that was a few months back so possibly your stepmother had a false positive?

there was a guy on one of the Alex Belfield videos and for some reason they doubled up when they sent him a test kit.he did it and sent it back and the other kit he wiped it on the leaf of his palm tree 'strange thing to do' and they both came back positive

 

[Ban-jani]

Excess deaths rather than official death numbers are generally seen as the most reliable comparator. By that measure, I think we were the worst in Europe first wave, don't have a ready reference though.

I reckon the care home scandal, as I call it, is what made us the worst.

We locked down a bit late but not late enough to show the numbers we did, I think clearly out the hospitals and sending the virus into care homes, it’s what caused that spike in the first wave.

For me it’s the biggest fuck up.

 

[denislawsbackheel]

Tsshh and here was me waiting for your approval, will a bank transfer be ok?
Funny as last year we had four hospital doctors living next door in a house share, and they never once mentioned it being a load bollocks, guess you live and learn

Did they join in or just come out and bow?

 

[gaz76]

Did they join in or just come out and bow?

Nah they just ran up and down the street collecting the claps in a bag.

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

there was a guy on one of the Alex Belfield videos and for some reason they doubled up when they sent him a test kit.he did it and sent it back and the other kit he wiped it on the leaf of his palm tree 'strange thing to do' and they both came back positive

to be fair I'm pretty sure the palm tree is immune to Covid.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

We locked down a bit late but not late enough to show the numbers we did, I think clearly out the hospitals and sending the virus into care homes, it’s what caused that spike in the first wave

Again, don't have time to look up references, but my understanding is there's nothing unusual internationally about our relative rate in care homes.

However, when cases were doubling every 3-4 days, the delay in lock down was critical, and almost certainly cost around half of the deaths and a significant extra period in lock down. There is published research on this.

That lesson was never learned, and we have just lived through a direct repeat. Which is criminal negligence IMO.

 

[Millwallawayveteran1988]

That model is assuming this lock down is effective... it would be far worse without.

Bad news.

I can only assume they don’t share the data about the age of hospital admissions on the news etc as it would just encourage more non compliance amongst younger people.

 

[Ban-jani]

Again, don't have time to look up references, but my understanding is there's nothing unusual internationally about our relative rate in care homes.

However, when cases were doubling every 3-4 days, the delay in lock down was critical, and almost certainly cost around half of the deaths and a significant extra period in lock down. There is published research on this.

That lesson was never learned, and we have just lived through a direct repeat. Which is criminal negligence IMO.

I’m interested to see similar examples in other countries regarding the care homes.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

I’m interested to see similar examples in other countries regarding the care homes.

New York and Sweden have both been suggested as examples where major mistakes were made. Wave one saw some awful reports from Spain.