Coronavirus (2021) thread

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as has been mentioned before, comparing UK wide is poinless. if 3/4's of those in hospital were in the north west then its an issue. they are not going to shift peolpe from the NW to say Birminham to get a free bed if the region fills up.

Not suggesting this is the case mind you, just pointing out the flaw in the logic of using UK wide hospital beds.
Which is why I post all the England regional hospital numbers each evening in here.
 
LAST NIGHTS PATIENT DATA - SEPARATE POSTS BEFORE IT ON ADMISSIONS AND AFTER IT ON VENTILATOR NUMBERS - AND ANOTHER LATER ON UK NUMBERS IF ANYONE WANTS TO LOOK BACK.


ENGLAND HOSPITAL DATA PATIENTS

Total up 140 to 3110.

Last Wednesday numbers rose by 146 to 2144

Regions: Change since yesterday and V was Last Wednesday

EAST UP 3 to 154 - was 105

LONDON UP 26 to 540 - was 397

MIDLANDS UP 76 to 601 - was 375 - MIDLANDS RAPIDLY FOLLOWING NE & YORKS AS NEXT BIG UPTICK REGION

NE & YORKSHIRE UP 14 to 657 - was 420 - BIG WEEK TO WEEK RISE

SOUTH EAST UP 21 to 227 - was 143

SOUTH WEST UP 1 to 160 - was 104


AS FOR THE NORTH WEST:-

DOWN 1 to 771 - was 600


Only by 1 but not only lower admissions Monday but the only region with net fall in patient numbers today.

This is a hopeful sign.
 
So - yes - cases and hospital numbers and deaths are all going up and will go up over the next few weeks.

And - yes - we likely will top 100 deaths on a day in England let alone the UK now a near certainty - over the next week or two,

But the NW is the biggest England region. Scotland the second biggest nation.

IF - and it is still an IF - these positive signs from both are the first in first out effect from this wave then that is hopeful news.


Because we can more clearly track what will probably happen elsewhere and if it follows suit we will have a peak in the next 3/4 weeks maybe and it will be at 3 figures in deaths and possibly even five figures in patients.

But I am hopeful that is about it and I think we can be very hopeful it will be nowhere near what happened in January even f we have more cases than the peak then over 60K. As may well happen in coming weeks.

We all know why this huge difference is occurring.
Thanks - just out of interest and I'm not assuming you know but I'm curious to know what age ranges are the deaths happening?
Yesterday was 50 dead - so was this elderly people who have been vaccinated or the other end of the scale, young people who have only had 1 or no jabs?
I know the vaccine is not 100% but to me 50 dead still seems a high figure given our excellent vaccine roll out.
 
Thanks - just out of interest and I'm not assuming you know but I'm curious to know what age ranges are the deaths happening?
Yesterday was 50 dead - so was this elderly people who have been vaccinated or the other end of the scale, young people who have only had 1 or no jabs?
I know the vaccine is not 100% but to me 50 dead still seems a high figure given our excellent vaccine roll out.
I post the age ranges of the England hospitals deaths around this time every afternoon as soon as they are posted,

Search on my posts Mon - Fri above around 2.30 PM you can track every day.

Todays is coming shortly,
 
I post the age ranges of the England hospitals deaths around this time every afternoon as soon as they are posted,

Search on my posts Mon - Fri above around 2.30 PM you can track every day.

Todays is coming shortly,
WIll do thanks
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL 35 DEATHS

By region: 1 East, 3 London. 6 Midlands, 13 NE & Yorkshire, 9 North West, 1 South East, 2 South West

NW deaths: 3 Southport, 2 Manchester, 2 Lancashire, 1 Christies, 1 Mid Cheshire

The most deaths were 7 in South Tyneside

By age range: 20 - 39 (2), 40 - 59 (3), 60 - 79 (15), 80 PLUS (15).
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS BY DAY:

There is little doubt now this is starting to rise quite fast upward like Scotland did today.

As we are in the early stages of the rising deaths in other regions starting to filter through due to the 2 or 3 week lag behind case numbers and hospitalisation this is nowhere near what will be the numbers this time in August.

NW is though showing a sign of its falling proportionately but still at high numbers as cases are still high .

14 JUL added 4 (last wk 3 added)

13 JUL added 19 (last wk 9 added). THIS IS THE BIGGEST DAILY ADD ON SINCE 31 MARCH.

The two day total for 13 Jul is now 24 THIS IS THE HGHEST TWO DAY NUMBER SINCE 8 APRIL

12 JUL added 3 to total 15 after 3 days (was 2 to equal 12 last week)

11 JUL added 2 to total 17 after 4 days (was 0 to equal 13 last week)

10 JUL added 2 to total 20 after 5 days (was 0 to equal 15 last week)



The last 7 days weekly total - 4 to 10 JUL is 15 / 16 / 15 / 14 / 22 / 24 / 20 = TOTAL OF 126

Week before was 10 / 9 / 10 / 19 / 11 / 22 / 15 = TOTAL OF 96

Week before that (20 - 26 JUN) was 14 / 11 / 7 / 4 / 14 / 14 / 4 = TOTAL OF 68
 
New cases in the Netherlands up to 11,064 today, and the ECDC has decided that the country should be reclassified for tourism and coloured what Dulux might engagingly call ‘Ruby Starlet’.
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

Sadly this will not brighten your mood much

0 deaths - was 0 last week

1083 cases - was 627 last week FIRST OVER 1000 CASES SINCE 15 JANUARY

30.1% positivity - was 19.9% last week

4437 seven day rolling cases total - was 3977 yesterday & 2257 last week

19 Care Home Outbreaks - was 16 yesterday and 9 last week. THIS IS GETTING RATHER DISTURBING IT WAS DOWN TO ALMOST ZERO PRE DELTA

80 patients - up from 72 yesterday & 48 last week

1 ventilated - same as yesterday - was 0 last week
 
NORTHERN IRELAND WEEKLY CASES BY AGE RANGE


0 - 19 (1231) 27.8%

20 - 39 (2061) 46.5%

40 - 59 (837) 18.9%

60 - 79 (259) 5.8%

80 PLUS (47) 1.0%


The same trend. The over 60s - have gone up from under 3% to now nearly 7% but are not rising much even now cases are going up a lot day to day.

The numbers in the 40 - 59 group have actually fallen back below 20% in past few days - cutting the over 40s to only just over a quarter of all cases for the first time in a couple of weeks.

A reversal of recent trends in a good way,

At 74.3% under 40 testing positive that is also the biggest rise in the past week or so. t has fallen from 80% at one stage to just under 70%

I think if these are real changes not just a quirk of rising numbers it is a positive sign as more and more over 40 will be getting double jabbed,
 
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