Coronavirus (2021) thread

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ENGLAND HOSPITAL PATIENTS

Down on day 126 to 5056,

Up from 4230 in past week. A rise of 826

Previous week was up 167 on Wednesday to Thursday and up from 3241 - by 989 - week to week



REGIONS Up/down on day and V last week

EAST UP 3 to 372 V 299

LONDON DOWN 88 to 935 V 815

MIDLANDS UP 5 to 976 V 815

NE & YORKSHIRE DOWN 3 to 1134 V 943

SOUTH EAST DOWN 13 to 455 V 359

SOUTH WEST DOWN 20 to 322 V 244


AND NORTH WEST DOWN 10 to 862 V 835

Three other regions with more patients now and lowest wk to wk rise in England by far.
 
I had a phone conversations with my doctor in April before my second jab about it. All she said is she though it was a coincidence it started after my first jab. I told her well that's some coincidence as I've never had the pain there before in my life before the jab
Likewise pal
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL VENTILATED PATIENTS



Up on day 17 to 765

Up from 612 in past week. A rise of 153

Previous week was up 4 on day Tuesday to Wednesday and up from 493 to 612 - by 119 - week to week



REGIONS Up/down on day and V last week


EAST UP 4 to 61 V 42

LONDON DOWN 7 TO 172 V 141

MIDLANDS UP 9 to 147 V 115

NE & YORKSHIRE UP 3 TO 159 V 109

SOUTH EAST UP 1 to 43 V 38

SOUTH WEST DOWN 3 to 49 V 41


AND NORTH WEST UP 10 to 134 V 126


North West now behind London, Midlands and NE & Yorkshire here too now but with biggest jump UP today.
 
Cases across the regions:


Change in last 24 hrs V seven days ago




SOUTH


East UP 361 to 2637 V 3186

London UP 993 to 4333 V 4463



London the highest region in England going solo.

Biggest rise today BUT fell week to week by 130




South East UP 358 to 3715 V 5036 - Now second highest single region - behind London but ahead of North West.





South West UP 108 to 2817 V 3777








MIDLANDS



East UP 128 to 2408 V 2755

West UP 100 to 2568 V 3542

Modest rises here


COMBINING THESE TWO INTO ONE AS THE NHS DOES TOTALS 4976 - STILL THE LARGEST REGION








NORTH



North East UP 68 to 1498 V 2531



Yorkshire UP 317 to 3249 V 4259


NE & YORKSHIRE as Zoe and the NHS combines these two for the hospital data and this is now the second biggest area with 4747 cases. Ahead of the biggest southern region. But behind the Midlands.



AND



NORTH WEST UP 589 to 3588 V 5600

Second biggest rise behind London.




Past weeks NW numbers are 5600 - 4172 - 3615 - 3464 - 3281 - 2683 - 2999 - 3588

Equivalent NW numbers a week earlier 6212 - 7256 - 7424 - 6962 - 5176 - 5058 - 5322 - 5600


Look at the week to weeks above:-

DOWN 612 - DOWN 3084 - DOWN 3809 - DOWN 3498 - DOWN 1895 - DOWN 2371 - DOWN 2323 - DOWN 2002





GM numbers in past week 2258 - 1623 - 1618 - 1410 - 1330 - 1088 - 1251 - 1381


Total in GM from the NW cases Total 35.9 % was 39.8% yesterday and 40.3% a week ago.
 
Full GM details


Total cases 1381 - UP 130 on Yesterday - The whole NW was UP by 589

Well under par- which is good - hence the record low % GM to NW today.


Wk to wk DOWN 877 when the NW is DOWN by 2012


About right as a split of the NW.



BOROUGH / CASES TODAY / V YESTERDAY / V LAST WEEK



BOLTON 98 / UP 8 / DOWN 79

BURY 91 / UP 23 / DOWN 52

MANCHESTER 320 / UP 62 / DOWN 112

OLDHAM 138 / UP 25 / DOWN 96

ROCHDALE 111 / UP 17 / DOWN 55

SALFORD 144 / DOWN 36 / DOWN 83

STOCKPORT 146 / UP 40 / DOWN 97

TAMESIDE 100 / DOWN 11 / DOWN 81

TRAFFORD 96 / UP 5 / DOWN 76

WIGAN 137 / DOWN 3 / DOWN 148


Three boroughs in the 90s

More large week to week falls for fourth day running.

Stockport had the least good day today. Second to Manchester in total score for first time in weeks - though 174 behind and down big week to week too.

Another obviously very good day for GM with more large weekly Pop Score falls - which is the number that matters most to chart the progress of the pandemic in GM.
 
Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-





Bury 572 , Trafford 742, Bolton 754 , Tameside 795 , Rochdale 826, Oldham 915 , Stockport 959 , Salford 1075, Wigan 1111, Manchester 1930

More very big falls today. Bury well clear.

Seven now under 1000 again with Oldham and Stockport joining the queue. Salford and Wigan heading to join them after a week ago looking likely to be over 3000.

To cap it al Manchester goes sub 2000,. Everyone is heading in the right direction.
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after yesterday:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.




Salford 415 / 707 / DOWN 277 Testing positive 13.0%

Oldham 386 / 744 / DOWN 358 Testing positive 13.5%

Rochdale 371 / 651 / DOWN 280 Testing positive 13.2 %

Tameside 351 / 690 / DOWN 339 Testing positive 11.3%

Manchester 349 / 555 / DOWN 206 Testing positive 13.5%

Wigan 338 / 776 / DOWN 436 Testing positive 12.7%

Stockport 326 / 590 / DOWN 264 Testing positive 10.1 %

Trafford 313 / 526 / DOWN 213 Testing positive 10.2%

Bury 300 / 574 / DOWN 274 Testing positive 12.4%

Bolton 262 / 507 / DOWN 245 Testing positive 13.2%


MORE GIGANTIC FALLS IN WEEKLY POP - EVERYONE DOWN BY THREE FIGURES IN THE WEEK AND ALL OF THEM OVER 200 IS AMAZING AND UNPRECEDENTED DURING THE PANDEMIC.

HIGHEST FALLS EVER ACROSS THE BOARD.

Enjoy it while you can as these will now drop over the next few days as there just is not that far to fall any more.
.
Salford now alone over 400. Probably only for a day.

Bolton back close to its lowest score since Delta. And best in GM. Though Bury is close by.



The first two into Delta in April are now the two best scorers. Good sign



Stockport up by 49 - big jump up from lowest yesterday - on 10, 129 - and Trafford up by just 41 to 10, 228

So Trafford's good day v Stockport less so regained 8 in the overall Pop Score race to tale SKs lead to just 99 - half what it was.

These two boroughs have done this throughout the pandemic swapping places as best of the best two for 16 months.

It is a sign of a return to normality between waves when this resumes.

Bolton again was the lowest Pop Score in GM today - just 34 - to 13, 211.

Bury up 48 to 12, 408.

Manchester up 58 to 13, 483

Oldham up 58 too to 13, 485 - and retains its lead over Manchester of just 2 for highest overall Pop Score across the pandemic.

These two are in an even closer fight than Stockport and Trafford at the better end of the table.

Rochdale up 50 to 13, 239.

Salford up 55 - to enter into the 13K club as its fifth member.


Tameside up 45 to 11, 298

And Wigan up 42 to 12, 718.
 
GM VACCINE UPDATE:




Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY


BOLTON 78.3% / 64.8% V 78.2%/ 64.5% Up 0.4

BURY 79.7% / 65.9% V 79.7% / 65.6% Up 0.3

MANCHESTER 63.2% / 46.4% V 63.2% / 46.2% Up 0.2

OLDHAM 75.4% / 61.2% V 75.3% / 61.0% Up 0.3

ROCHDALE 76.0% / 63.2% V 76.0% /63.0% Up 0.2

SALFORD 70.4% / 52.9% V 70.4% / 52.7% Up 0.2

STOCKPORT 84.2% / 69.5% V 84.2% / 69.4% Up 0.1

TAMESIDE 79.8% / 66.2% V 79.7%/ 66.1% Up 0.2

TRAFFORD 81.8% / 68.6% V 81.7% / 68.4% UP 0.3

WIGAN 83.0% / 68.6% V 82.9% / 68.4%% Up 0.3




Bolton up 0.4 - most today.

Stockport the least on 0.1


Numbers seem to be slowing right down



TO COMPARE WITH ALL OF UK:-


UK Vaccination numbers today

Percentage of adult UK population as eligible

88.4% have had first doses - 43, 873 given Wednesday (England 88.2%, N Ireland 83.1%, Scotland 90.2% (Wales 90.3%)

71.4% have had second doses - 171, 341 Wednesday (England 71.0%, N Ireland 70.9%, Scotland 70.8%, Wales 80.2%)
 
The hospital data is crucial right now. More so than cases.

I do post the hospital data in here every evening Len if you want to look back and track them day to day.

And posted earlier this afternoon the past month data week to week comparisons.

There is little question from that Scotland started falling 2 or 3 weeks ago and it translated into a stall in hospital numbers a week or 10 days ago.

A similar thing has happened in the North West to the hospital data a week or so on from Scotland

Patients and ventilators gone from the most to the fourth most in a week or so.

These are NOT going to happen if a real fall was not occurring.

Though we are only sure of that in two places.

A lot of factors are at work.

We were bound to see now some impact from opening up fully last Monday. There is a lag before that becomes visible and then a lag into patient numbers rising, ventilated and then sadly deaths.

So - in effect - two parts of the UK may have started the fall but all parts are now adding in the opening up additions.

So the result is a reduction in the fall.

Though this is purely my non expert guess. Plenty of experts will be far better placed to judge.
I agree with 898 admissions a day (weekly average ) and only 5600 in hospital with Covid the average length of stay is 6.23 days.
Also why are the government not telling us the truth about hospitalisations and ICU admissions?
60% of hospital admissions are unvacinated and of the remIning 40% most are discharged in a couple of days after breathing difficulties are resolved. As to ICU admissions 80%+ in inner City hospitals West Midlands and Greater Manchester are unvaccinated [Source my daughter - A Covidologist (formally a Care of the Elderly Specialist)]
You'd think the Government want everyone who can will catch it quickly rather than get vaccinated.

Oh.... Wait... They clearly do.
 
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