Coronavirus (2021) thread

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My memory may be hazy but didn't it take a while for the WHO to say it was an airborne virus. Wasn't the initial thinking that it wasn't? Then we had horror stories about the virus travelling miles on pollen (i may have dreamt this)
They claimed it was spread via droplets at first, then later via droplets AND via airborne transmissoon in unventilated areas but now it is considered to simply be airborne in unventilated areas with occasional transmission via droplets.
 
SCOTLAND DATA

BIT OF A DOWNTURN TODAY - THOUGH NOTHING DRASTIC

9 deaths - was 7 last week

1016 cases - was 1044 last week - SO IS DOWN BUT ONLY SLIGHLY AND......

8.1% positivity - was 5.6% last week. THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT RISE HERE. HOPEFULLY A BLIP

406 patients - down 1 on yesterday - was 472 last week

61 ventilated - UP 1 on yesterday - was 63 last week
 
Good point. Maybe they should stop publishing test figures to avoid the inevitable media crap that comes with both rises and falls.
Why not instead just tell the media to up their game and understand a pandemic they have been reporting on for 18 months?

THEY are the problem - not the data.

And at the same time Gov UK could up THEIR game by doing what I just did with Scotland above. Give the positivity percentage daily as well as the cases.

As you see how that changes entirely the context of a tiny fall in cases.

England is the only nation not doing this openly. It has to be worked out and they know journalists will not bother with that.

So the fault is not the data we have but the data they choose to let us have and the lazy sods who just write up raw numbers off the dashboard.

It is very easy to see how many people are in hospital or on ventilators in the UK. It involves adding up. That is all. But the BBC routinely report out of date data as it is often at least 24 hours behind and can be more on Gov UK. So they have to find it not just read what they are told it is.

I am often a couple of days ahead not because I am a genius or doing anything remotely hard. JUst not rushing the job and assuming the data that Gov UK post IS as up to date as possible w hich is not always true and never has been.

The numbers can either tell us where we are going or be used to sell an agenda.

The agenda is the problem not the data.
 
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ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

Sadly as expected today is the biggest in a while BECAUSE of the weekend catch up we always get on Tuesday and have since day 1 of the pandemic due to no registrations Sunday.

Numbers ARE up and the other regions are now catching and overtaking the NW which seems to have reported more over the weekend than they did.

Anyhow it is 147 with 26 from the North West

Last week was 117 with 22 NW and week before 73 with 17.

Deaths will keep rising for a couple of weeks and we will have a few more three figure death days.

But I am hopeful the peak will be short lived given the way cases have been falling and hospitalisations too which is bound to translate into lower deaths sooner than they might.

And of course this will probably be the highest number this week - hopefully
 
THE 147 ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS TODAY

BY REGION:

East 7, London 20, Midlands 38, NE & Yorkshire 34, North West 26, South East 20, South West 2


BY AGE:- 6 (aged 20 - 39), 16 (aged 40 - 59), 68 (aged 60 - 79) AND 57 (aged 80 PLUS)


BY TRUST:- Birmingham 9, North Midlands 7 are the most

In the NW there were: 3 each in Bolton, Lancashire, Manchester and Wigan - 2 each in East Lancashire, Liverpool, Morecambe, Pennine Acute and Salford and 1 each in Blackpool, Mid Cheshire, Stockport & Warrington,
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS BY DATE

AUG 2 adds 8 on day 1 (last week added 11)

AUG 1 adds 38 (most since MAR 15) to total 39 after 2 days (last week added 33 to total 33 after 2 days)

JUL 31 adds 39 (most since FEB 27) to total 43 after 3 days (last week added 32 to total 35 after 3 days)

JUL 30 adds 40 (most since FEB 19) to total 57 after 4 days (last week added 23 to total 41 after 4 days)

JUL 29 adds 8 to total 44 after 5 days (last week added 7 to total 46 after 5 days)




AS YOU SEE NUMBERS RISING BUT NOT SHOOTING UP.

THE MOST DEATHS ON ONE DAY REMAINS 62 on 19 JUL.

PROBABLY WILL NOT STAY THE PEAK WITH OTHER REGIONS GOING UP BUT THE CLOSEST TO IT RIGHT NOW IS 30 JULY ON 57 - WHICH SEEMS LIKELY TO TOP IT SOON.

SO THAT NOT ONE DAY HAS EVEN CLOSE TO 100 DEATHS ON AN ACTUAL DAY (The total announced today is from multiple dates added up as always ) SHOULD BE REMEMBERED IF THE MEDIA SAY 147 DIED YESTERDAY. THEY DID NOT. 8 DID. IT WILL BECOME MORE OVER COMING DAYS. BUT ALMOST CERTAINLY NOT 147.
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

Sadly as expected today is the biggest in a while BECAUSE of the weekend catch up we always get on Tuesday and have since day 1 of the pandemic due to no registrations Sunday.

Numbers ARE up and the other regions are now catching and overtaking the NW which seems to have reported more over the weekend than they did.

Anyhow it is 147 with 26 from the North West

Last week was 117 with 22 NW and week before 73 with 17.

Deaths will keep rising for a couple of weeks and we will have a few more three figure death days.

But I am hopeful the peak will be short lived given the way cases have been falling and hospitalisations too which is bound to translate into lower deaths sooner than they might.

And of course this will probably be the highest number this week - hopefully
Get the fucking vaccine and wear a mask in overcrowded unventilated public places..it might just save your life..
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

6 deaths - was 3 last week

1062 cases - was 1473 last week

7.7% positivity - was 8.1% last week

8254 Weekly Cases - down from 8525 yesterday & 9078 last week

99 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - UP 2 ON DAY AND FROM 72 LAST WEEK. WHEN WILL THEY ACT ON THIS?

224 patients - up 20 on yesterday - but down from 243 last week

26 ventilated - up 3 on yesterday - was 21 last week

SOME SIGNS OF A STALL IN NUMBERS BUT....

NOT HARD TO GUESS WHERE THESE ESCALATING VENTILATOR PATIENTS AND DEATHS ARE COMING FROM SADLY
 
So total deaths from the 4 nations with England out of hospital to add are 162

Last week it was at this stage 127 - so up around 30% week to week

That 127 became 131 all settings later. 121 of them from England.

Not impossible it will be near 200 today but hopefully not too near.
 
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