Coronavirus (2021) thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
ONS survey weekly Friday prevalence results show falls week to week - week ending 31 JUL

England 1 in 75 - down slightly from 1 in 65 last week - so levelled off

N Ireland 1 in 55 - UP from 1 in 65 - now highest numbers in UK consistent with data and NI last to get Delta

Scotland 1 in 120 - down slightly from 1 in 110 - like England flatlining

Wales 1 in 230 - was 1 in 160 - actually down the most w to wk


THIS IS ALL GOOD NEWS AS THE DATA SUPPORTS A FLATTENING OFF IN ENGLAND & SCOTLAND WITH BETTER NUMBERS IN SCOTLAND AS THEY WERE FIRST INTO THE DELTA WAVE

AND THAT N IRELAND LAST IN IS ONLY ONE STILL RISING WHICH MAKES SENSE

AND THAT WALES AS THE MOST VACCINATED POPULATION OF THE FOUR NATIONS HAS THE LOWEST RATE
 
Those graphs visually show the flatlining and that data was up to end of last week before the cases actually started flatlining.

They also show how Scotland peaked lower and first before England and how shallow the curve down is.

That Northern Ireland - with easily the worst UK vaccination rates - is going up more steeply.

And how Wales with the best vaccination rate has had the lowest prevalence and barely edged up at all.

This is all pretty good evidence of the success of the vaccines. As it is a heck of a coincidence they would fit that well into the relative vaccination rates otherwise.
 
Last edited:
SCOTLAND DATA

7 deaths - was 6 last week

1250 cases - was 1456 last week

5.5% positivity - was 6.2% last week

367 patients - down 14 on yesterday - was 474 last week

54 ventilated ICU - 1 down on yesterday - was 60 last week

STILL SLOWLY INCHING DOWN IT SEEMS
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

60 with 12 NW - last week 42 with 11, week before 41 with 14

Same pattern NW deaths falling - other regions edging up - small overall rise.

One of these is from before Christmas - first 2020 one in a while

By region:- East 2, London 12, Midlands 13, NE & Yorkshire 16, North West 12, South East 3, South West 2

NW deaths:- 4 Tameside & Glossop, 2 each in Manchester and Pennine Acute & 1 each in Blackpool, Bolton, Liverpool & Southport

So 9 of the 60 from Greater Manchester today

By age:- 20 - 39 (3), 40 - 59 (6), 60 - 79 (25), 80 PLUS (26)
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS SUMMARY

5 AUG adds 10 on day 1 - (6 added last week)

4 AUG adds 30 to total 37 after 2 days - (25 added last week to total 37 after 2 days)

3 AUG adds 10 to total 39 after 3 days - (6 added last week to total 41 after 3 days)

2 AUG adds 2 to total 51 after 4 days - (1 added last week to total 50 after 4 days)

1 AUG adds 0 to total 51 after 5 days - (0 added last week to total 42 after 5 days)



The numbers are inching up not accelerating up which is good news.

Here are the numbers for the past 4 weeks of full 5 day totals:

JUL 4 - 10 // 15 - 16 - 15 - 14 - 22 - 24 - 20 // WEEKLY TOTAL AT 5 DAYS 126

JUL 11 - 17 // 17 - 18 - 31 - 22 - 27 - 31- 36 // WEEKLY TOTAL AT 5 DAYS 182

JUL 18 - 24 // 39 - 60 - 37 - 29 - 46 - 47 - 43 // WEEKLY TOTAL AT 5 DAYS 301

JUL 25 - 31 // 42 - 51 - 42 - 33 - 44 - 62 - 62 // WEEKLY TOTAL AT 5 DAYS 336

As you can see the numbers WERE rising more steeply but on the past week the rise has slowed quite a bit.

The first 5 day total of the next week is 51 - up on last week's 42 but there is not a lot coming up behind to suggest a big rise in the next weekly total either. Just up a similar amount to this week.

But things can change quickly, of course. So we will see.
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

STILL RISING HERE

4 deaths - was 3 last week

1434 cases - was 1101 last week

8.3% positivity - was 7.2% last week - only nation still going up on this number

Weekly cases total 8299 - was 8105 last week & 8854 last week

106 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - UP 3 ON YESTERDAY - WAS 85 LAST WEEK

226 patients - same as yesterday - was 232 last week

28 ventilated icu - up 1 on yesterday - was 25 last week
 
92 all settings deaths - was 68 last Friday

31, 808 cases - up 1593 on yesterday

812, 220 pillar 1 & 2 tests

Yesterday was 30, 215 from 835, 467 tests

Last Friday was 29, 622 from 848, 892 tests

So cases up week to week 2186.
 
REGIONAL SUMMARY

North West the ONLY region to fall today - which is a surprise. Also down week to week in NW.

London up the most (around 700) to be 1000 more than the NW.

Not so good for Greater Manchester though.

It did fall but only by 34 of the NW fall of 146.

And week to week its split of the fall of just 89 was to GO UP by 121.

Which is obviously not great.

Only Bury and Rochdale under 100 today. And both in the 90s. And only Rochdale down on last week.

Oldham, Stockport and Trafford not good days - all have been going up over the past few days and well up on last week too. Trafford by the most so Stockport did gain 2 Pop Score points on it today despite itself up on 166 cases - the most in SK in a couple of weeks.

Much better days though for Wigan and Rochdale. Wigan especially has really turned big numbers around fast.

Bolton up on last week - but only by 4 and on 100 exactly. The others had similar meh kind of days not really good or bad.

I think GM is having more problems squeezing cases down right now than the NW in general is doing.

Not really a surprise given the dynamics and density of the area,

In more than one sense I suspect.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Unread Posts

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top
✖
  AdBlock Detected
Bluemoon relies on advertising to pay our hosting fees. Please support the site by disabling your ad blocking software to help keep the forum sustainable. Thanks.