Sat Aug 07, 2021 3:51 pm
What's the story with the delta variant being transmissible between vaccinated and unvaccinated alike? Is this a game changer regarding vaccines? Also, this new variant from Columbia is apparently suspected to be able to evade the current crop of vaccines, although this has not been confirmed. Have to say, I'm so f**king over this.
'transmissible between vaccinated and unvaccinated alike' is the wrong way to say it.
Delta IS transmissible by the vaccinated but at much lower rate. UK last week estimated vaccinated people likely caught and passed on the virus 50% as much as the unvaccinated.
Personally, I think that's likely to underestimate the effectiveness of the vaccine at preventing transmission - Delta is the first time we've let a variant spreading through a vaccinated population, but also a population in a non-lockdown state, millions crowding into the pubs and mate's houses for summer and the Euros.
The chance of getting serious illness is reduced in line as we thought at the beginning - ten times (or so - likely to be more) less likely to get a serious case. It's too early and too big a question to say how much less likely to get long Covid you are.
All the focus on death numbers has led people to form the impression that this was the only significant risk COVID poses to people. That is a big mistake to make. Studies are showing those who 'recover' fully may incur a whole load of nasty damage to their bodies, from grey matter loss, to permanent lung damage, to cardiovascular inflammation. It's my assumption that unfortunately in years to come we are going to see heart disease numbers rise significantly.
Ironically, for people who assume their immune system will handle it, the real worry is the damaged caused to us by our immune system - in response to COVID.
It frequently, randomly provokes a misdirected and over the top reaction from the immune system, and that is what is likely to be leading to the damage to the organs that doctors are seeing in adults of all ages, and this is what is behind what we call "severe covid", "long covid" - and everything else between.
The vaccine is not perfect - no such thing is possible. But it is an awful lot safer than any of the variants. Unwanted effects will occur, but at a massively lower rate.