Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Greater Manchester

Weekly total cases:-





Bolton 548, Bury 586, Rochdale 605, Tameside 633, Trafford 686, Wigan 765, Oldham 810, Stockport 891, Salford 985, Manchester 1862



Looking better

Bolton stays top - from worst to best rehabilitation now complete post Delta.

Salford drops below 1000 leaving Manchester alone there but falling over 100 today.
 
GM Weekly Pop Data after yesterday:~

Borough / Pop Today / 7 days ago / up or down wk to wk/ Testing is % of local population who have tested positive for Covid over past year.

As ever with Pop going up is bad, going down good - the higher the number the better or worse depending on direction moving. The Pop is total cases in past week versus 100,000 POPulation to even out the comparison versus size and expected cases based on numbers living there.




Bury 326 / 300 / UP 26 Testing positive 12.8%

Oldham 311 / 343 / DOWN 33 Testing positive 13.9%

Trafford 279 / 296 / DOWN 17 Testing positive 10.6%

Stockport 276 / 304 / DOWN 28 Testing positive 10 5%

Manchester 264 / 353 / DOWN 89 Testing positive 13.8%

Tameside 248 / 313 / DOWN 65 Testing positive 11.6%

Rochdale 196 / 336 / DOWN 140 Testing positive 13.5%

Salford 181 / 426 / DOWN 245 Testing positive 13.3%

Bolton 158 / 231 / DOWN 73 Testing positive 13.4%

Wigan 152 / 306 / DOWN 154 Testing positive 12.9%



Wigan still best in GM and Salford and Rochdale under 100 too now - though particularly Salford will adjust up next week as over 100 of that was down to the population change that will only be relevant for a few more days so it is artificially very low here right now.

Wigan though has really turned it around big - following Bolton's lead


Stockport up by 39 now 10, 495.

Trafford up slightly less - 37 - - taking it up to 10, 598.

So Stockport's lead for the best overall Pop Score across the pandemic is cut by 2 to 103.

Rochdale up 35 - to 13, 526.

But Bolton again was the lowest Pop Score at 31 - taking it up to 13, 433.

Bury up the most today - 60 - to 12, 824 .

Manchester up 43 - to 13, 864

Oldham up 41 - to 13, 886 which cuts its lead now on 23.

Salford is up 50 to 13, 346 .

Tameside up 44 to 11, 629

And Wigan on same rise as Stockport - 39 - Now on 12, 950 - delaying entry into the 13 K club probably until Monday given how well it is doing.
 
GM VACCINE UPDATE:




Latest Vaccine Update by Population Percentage for 10 GM boroughs

Borough/ First Dose / Both Doses - TODAY V YESTERDAY


BOLTON 78.8% / 67.4% V 78.7%/ 67.1% Up 0.4

BURY 80.2% / 69.1% V 80.2% / 68,8% Up 0.3

MANCHESTER 63.8% / 49.8% V 63.8% / 49.4% Up 0.4

OLDHAM 75.9% / 63.5% V 75.8% / 63.2% Up 0.4

ROCHDALE 76.6% / 65.8% V 76.5% /65.6% Up 0.3

SALFORD 71.0% / 55.8% V 71.0% / 55.5% Up 0.3

STOCKPORT 84.7% / 72.8% V 84.6% / 72.3% Up 0.6

TAMESIDE 80.2% / 68.1% V 80.2%/ 67.8% Up 0.3

TRAFFORD 82.1% / 70.7% V 82.1% / 70.4% Up 0.3

WIGAN 83.3% / 71.1% V 83.3% / 70.7% Up 0.4




Stockport up most on 0.6 today

0.3 was the lowest with half the boroughs going up by this today.




LATEST VACCINATION NUMBERS FOR THE UK NATIONS:-


UK Vaccination numbers today

Percentage of adult UK population as eligible

88.9% have had first doses - 35, 665 given yesterday (England 88.7%, N Ireland 84.6%, Scotland 90.6%, Wales 90.6%)

74.1% have had second doses - 162, 827 yesterday (England 73.6%, N Ireland 74.2%, Scotland 74.5%, Wales 82.7%)

LOOK AT THOSE WALES SECOND DOSES - NOBODY WITHIN GM EVEN WITHIN 10% OF THAT WALES NUMBER AND WAY AHEAD OF THE REST OF THE UK. WITH JOINT HIGHEST FIRST DOSES TOO

THIS IS WHY WALES CASES ARE NOT SHOOTING UP
 
Straight into my veins…



Oh and another



If these offend anyone who has decided they just don’t want the vaccine, good. Let’s hope one of these changes your mind before I post a story about you.


You can go onto that Leslie Lawrenson's Facebook page (I won't link it, but very easy to find).

It's a completely open profile, and it gives you an insight into just how big a bellend he was, sharing utter shite and spreading lies and misinformation.

In the couple of videos that he posted, he looks like he's at deaths door already but is clearly trying to play it all down.

This was a solicitor, educated at Cambridge, yet was thick as pigshit.

He also shared a Katie Hopkins video.....just in case anyone was in any doubt how big a twat he was.

I'd say RIP but it would be disingenuous because I'm certainly not sad to see the back of these dangerous conspiracy nutjobs.
 
You can go onto that Leslie Lawrenson's Facebook page (I won't link it, but very easy to find).

It's a completely open profile, and it gives you an insight into just how big a bellend he was, sharing utter shite and spreading lies and misinformation.

In the couple of videos that he posted, he looks like he's at deaths door already but is clearly trying to play it all down.

This was a solicitor, educated at Cambridge, yet was thick as pigshit.

He also shared a Katie Hopkins video.....just in case anyone was in any doubt how big a twat he was.

I'd say RIP but it would be disingenuous because I'm certainly not sad to see the back of these dangerous conspiracy nutjobs.
To carry on the theme:



 
I've just had a look at the ONS data on age of death involving Covid. As you probably know, that means any death where death is mentioned on the death certificate.

The readily available data stretches back to the week ending 12th Feb.

Overall, there are 395 attributed deaths in the 15-44 age group.

Given an estimated 21.5 millions in this age group, I make it that the risk of death in this group overall since February is around 0.0018%.

Of course, we don't know what % of those who died did so primarily because of Covid. We also don't know what proportion had been vaccinated, either wholly or in part.

I personally would hesitate to label anyone as being 'selfish' given these uncertainties, but others appear to have no such qualms.
Missing out all the deaths that occurred during the first wave and 80% of the second wave is going to give you quite a distorted picture even if it’s valid to use the whole population as the denominator (which it isn’t).
 
I've just had a look at the ONS data on age of death involving Covid. As you probably know, that means any death where death is mentioned on the death certificate.

The readily available data stretches back to the week ending 12th Feb.

Overall, there are 395 attributed deaths in the 15-44 age group.

Given an estimated 21.5 millions in this age group, I make it that the risk of death in this group overall since February is around 0.0018%.

Of course, we don't know what % of those who died did so primarily because of Covid. We also don't know what proportion had been vaccinated, either wholly or in part.

I personally would hesitate to label anyone as being 'selfish' given these uncertainties, but others appear to have no such qualms.
You’re not very good with statistics are you. In fact I’d go as far to say that you’re fucking appalling with them.
 
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