Coronavirus (2021) thread

[Octavian]

Tomorrow’s Mail are reporting the government have reduced isolation from 10 days to 7 days.

Just as I’ve done 10 days haha!

 

[Alan Harper's Tash]

Just as I’ve done 10 days haha!

It resets for anyone part way through.

 

[Octavian]

It resets for anyone part way through.

First day of freedom for me today so irrelevant.

oh well cannot change it now!

 

[Alan Harper's Tash]

First day of freedom for me today so irrelevant.

oh well cannot change it now!

It doesn’t really ;-)

You're free to enjoy Xmas now without worrying about Covid, so it’s not all bad news.

 

[SWP's back]

Indeed, even if it means letting the bodies pile high.

As yet, there are no bodies to pile high.

 

[SWP's back]

When he made that remark (allegedly) the general opinion (on here) was that he was putting the economy ahead of people. Now the general opinion is that lock downs are bad and should be avoided. Hmmmm......

Well yeah, when he originally made the remark, there was no vaccine and there were no anti-virals and covid had a CFR of around 3%.

No we do have vaccines, we do have anti-vitals and we have a variant that has a CFR of around 0.16% (South African data) and an expected IFR of 0.016% (8 times less lethal than Flu).

So yes, things change.

 

[Marvin]

Estimate for UK cases tomorrow? 104,000

110,000?

 

[SWP's back]

If this was the case, why aren’t SA seeing their death rates rocketing? Pretty sure SWP posted a graph earlier that showed their cases have rocketed yet their deaths haven’t, unlike in previous waves. Also add in to that they are miles off where we are in terms on vaccines and boosters.

here it is.

 

[BerkshireBlue]

They don’t. That people think they do is worrying in itself in terms of the motives of those suggesting that’s what might be happening (Nelson in the spectator being a good example)

This thread explains it pretty well, all the supporting data is still on the gov website too so you can see where the modelling ended up for previous waves either under or at their worst case at times.



For omicron, their modelling for low immune escape and high booster efficacy is looking the more likely, wouldn’t be surprised to see that revised down further though (I say in hope currently, but increasingly confident).

They do and they do it all the time. Thet can't help themselves like the narcissists they are.

There are countless articles and interviews from Sage members lobbying for lockdowns throught out the pandemic.
here's just 3 but I can go on for ages with different Dr's and Professors of Sage on TV, radio, newspapers. All of them lobbying for lockdowns and restrictions or delaying reopenings. All of them basing it off their own worst case very unlikely scenario

Covid: Action needed to limit hospital admissions - Sage scientists

Scientists say admissions could reach 3,000 a day in England if more restrictions are not brought in soon.

www.bbc.co.uk

More Covid rules could be needed in weeks to fight Omicron variant, SAGE warns

New Covid rules for England will be reviewed by December 20 - but the government's advisors warned: 'There may not be time to fully ascertain whether they are sufficient before decisions are needed on further action'

www.mirror.co.uk

Sage calls for ‘policy work’ on reintroducing Covid measures - Research Professional News

New restrictions should come in sooner rather than later, suggests Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies

www.researchprofessionalnews.com

 

[SWP's back]

and sat here like piffy on a rock bun.

Fuck me! I thought only my mother used that phrase. Every time I’ve said it in public I have just received blank stares and mild pisstaking.