Coronavirus (2021) thread

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Healdplace said:
I have posted today's Zoe graph of onging infections over on the data thread. Not going to post lots of data here.

The right hand side (past week or so) looks eerily like the South African ones with a near vertical line shooting upward in the past week.

They predict there are 144,285 new cases today. Easily the highest ever on Zoe. It was 82,000 11 days ago. And 87,000 last Wednesday.

And ongoing symptomatic cases at 1,477,757 - again easily a new record.

London is twice as high as every other region on Zoe. North West is in fifth place with all the eastern regions - East, South East and East MIdlands ahead of NW. North East though is the lowest of the 12 UK regions.

Zoe numbers seem to be more accurate right now than the Gov UK numbers posted daily. They need looking at imo as they are awry with what government are saying and what Zoe is showing. Suggesting they are deciding things from data we are are not being shown.
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Zoe tends to show everything including very mild illness. People only get a PCR if they're ill or need a sick note
 
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Seems to have been a good increase in 1st and 2nd doses recently..and nearly a million boosters latest figures..surely 2022 is when we defeat this bastard virus
 
roubaixtuesday said:
SA population 60 million, so not dissimilar to ours.

Big numbers compared to current uk, but again, like hospitalizations, impossible (for me at least) to translate to any kind of UK projection given the different demographics, vaccination and prior infection in the population.
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It’s their Summer in South Africa and people will be getting more Vitamin D from the Sun, as well as people being out and about more and even indoors people ventilate their homes and workplaces much more (which is why we have a fewer lung illnesses in the Summer).

There are 80% more lung illness hospital admissions in the Winter

CF787E51-CED6-41FA-9E1C-D91D92EE77CD.jpeg


If we can show data that has low hospitalisations with this Omicron variant even here in our Winter, we’ll be onto a flyer.
 
56 admissions to London hospitals for the 20th Dec. Not sure if that's the latest available data but it's the latest I could find on the NHS web-site. Not seeing any significant admissions yet.
 
roubaixtuesday said:
SA population 60 million, so not dissimilar to ours.

Big numbers compared to current uk, but again, like hospitalizations, impossible (for me at least) to translate to any kind of UK projection given the different demographics, vaccination and prior infection in the population.
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Where is the London surge in hospitalisations. They are coming in in tens not hundreds. We are yet to really see the explosive growth in London infection hit the hsopitals but we're close to that point. See London infection rate for that. I think it was the 12th Dec when gov.uk specimen date shoots up. 8 days on from then in the data where is the surge? We're seeing an uplift but nothing dramatic in my eyes. Perhaps too soon but London hospitalisation data is compeltely key. Hoepfully BBC 10 O'clock news will have some in depth analysis on this but I doubt it. This is the red flag in my book. It either waves or it doesn't. It isn't waving at the moment.
 
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