Coronavirus (2021) thread

[Healdplace]

We can't see positive cases by age band, can we ? Otherwise be interesting to see how many are school age children.

Northern Ireland give this data and I pot it from time to time.

Here is todays

0 - 19 (180) 14.8%

20 - 39 (471) 38.6%

40 - 59 (376) 30.8%

60 - 79 (163) 13.4%

80 PLUS (30) 2.4%

 

[Healdplace]

Seems to be a strange set of data all round then. Hopefully an outlier

I am fairly sure that audit of redefined deaths from past weeks that they reported yesterday is involved in this today.

As they referred to the area where that sudden jump in one place happened so that cannot be by chance.

 

[Healdplace]

Regional summary:

North West up very slightly and back to top region. But not by much.

And better day for Greater Manchester which fell slightly.


East - up 63 to 514

London - up 121 to 663

South East - up 10 to 550

South West - down 89 to 223 - lowest in any region for over 6 months.


East Midlands - down 74 to 516

West Midlands - up 12 to 638



North East - up 24 to 306

Yorkshire - down 75 to 781


And North West - up 4 - to 803.

 

[Healdplace]

Greater Manchester highlights:


Despite the 'huge' NW rise of 4 cases today GM actually managed to go down by 7 to 373.

So a good day where in truth numbers this week - like the England hospital deaths - appear to be flattening off.

Here are the past 7 days NW numbers: - 880 - 808 - 889 - 923 - 889 - 799 - 803

That is a textbook flatline of cases. Though at least sub 1000 for first time in months.


Greater Manchester in same period has: - 374 - 368 - 400 - 347 - 434 - 380 - 373

Which is pretty much doing the exact same thing.


This is definitely a plateau and the big concern is what happens next?

Two ways to go from a plateau - up or down.

 

[PannickAtTheDisco]

Lockdown is over clearly so all the students must have had their vaccines, good stuff.

 

[sky tot]

158 all settings deaths - a lot of those old ones discounted it seems

Lowest yet I think


6040 cases - up - but just by 93.

6040 but down 1400 from last Saturday.

 

[Healdplace]

GM highlights part 2

As for the GM scores today - only 37 separated all ten boroughs - the smallest range since Summer last year.

Manchester had another great low score (56) - Bolton was only 2 behind.

Trafford though up slightly posted its fourth straight teens number at 19.

Bury had another low number at 25.

And every other borough - all six of them - formed a neat cluster running 34, 35, 36, 37, 38 and 39!

GM loves symmetry it seems!

 

[Tim of the Oak]

Can only think that because the Czechs did so well during the first wave in keeping cases so low that with other, more infectious variants being around, so many are getting it now as there was next to no immunity amongst the population. Seems to be a pattern that’s being repeated in a few countries. Of course, if vaccine rollout had been a lot quicker over there then that could’ve negated some of those problems.

If I was in these Countries. I would be gutted if we had major outbreaks because a bunch of people in Kent couldn't follow the basic hands. face, space rules.

 

[Invisible Man's Bandage]

Good numbers for first and second shots yesterday.

1st 437,463

2nd 56,772

 

[Gabriel]

Cases in the Netherlands rise above 5,000 again, highest since January.

 

[Gaylord du Bois]

Cases in the Netherlands rise above 5,000 again, highest since January.

Is there still a night time curfew?

 

[Quad]

Just been looking at vaccination in Bradford and in high Muslim areas the % is much much lower on age , such a shame with the inter generation households

 

[Gabriel]

Is there still a night time curfew?

Yes. Had been hoped that it would be lifted this week- General Election being held over 3 days, 15th-17th- but little chance of that happening.

 

[Gaylord du Bois]

Yes. Had been hoped that it would be lifted this week- General Election being held over 3 days, 15th-17th- but little chance of that happening.

How are the vaccination numbers looking? I'd assume that there's still a certain reluctance surrounding the Ox/Az given that it's only really just had the nod, so to speak.

 

[Gabriel]

How are the vaccination numbers looking? I'd assume that there's still a certain reluctance surrounding the Ox/Az given that it's only really just had the nod, so to speak.

Not really an issue as that was more France and Germany; the Dutch always had the AZ vaccine as its bulwark. The problem in the Netherlands, and other European countries, is that there simply isn’t the supply.
The Dutch started extremely slowly, with poor logistics and everyone demanding their say, but since then the rates of vaccination have increased. However, AZ has admitted it cannot supply what it expected in Q1 and had also said it now won’t meet its target in Q2, so it feels as if nothing will improve until maybe June and perhaps even beyond. Maybe Pfizer and J&J will supply more in April/May...

 

[paulchapo]

Anyone worried that it's gonna shoot up again next week when the schools go back given most parents drop their kids off and thus will be mixing?

The thing is kids ARE mixing and have been since the school's shut. I look out of my window and see kids of all different age groups playing together and groups of teenagers milling about everywhere. Same with adults, plenty of visitors going in and out of other people's houses. I know it's not 300+ kids together but there is plenty of mixing.

 

[Healdplace]

UK cases Saturday in 2021

57, 725 v 59, 937 v 41, 346 v 33, 552 v 23, 275 v 18, 262 v 13, 308 v 10 406 v 7434 v 6040

 

[Healdplace]

Hospital data:


UK total: today it falls below 10,000 for whole UK.

I await the BBC news to tell you this - probably sometime next week.



Patients 9679 - it was 39, 248 at the peak on 18 Jan - (fall of 29, 569 in 47 days)

Ventilators 1448 - it was 4077 at the peak on 24 Jan - (fall of 2629 in 41 days)



England only:-

Patients: Down in day 573 to 8021 v 11, 090 last week - Peak was 34, 336 on 18 Jan (fall 26, 315 in 47 days)

Ventilators: Down in day 91 to 1326 v 1747 last week - Peak was 3736 on 24 Jan (fall 1989 in 41 days)



Regions:



Patient // Ventilators // change in past 24 hours and v last week


East down 78 to 786 v 1163 // down 8 to 123 v 147

London down 105 to 1618 v 2102 // down 31 to 417 v 540

Midlands down 125 to 1803 v 2518 // down 9 to 282 v 356

NE & Yorks down 92 to 1288 v 1736 // down 20 to 182 v 225

North West down 89 to 1222 v 1628 // down 6 to 152 v 223

South East down 63 to 1000 v 1451 // down 11 to 131 v 196

South West down 21 to 304 v 492 // down 6 to 39 v 60


Everywhere down on both patients and ventilated today as well as all down v last week.

 

[shemnel]

We can't see positive cases by age band, can we ? Otherwise be interesting to see how many are school age children.

Yes you can, but it's wide bands. From memory, under ten, ten to 20, 20 to 60, 60 to 85 and 85+ (something like that)

 

[unicorn]

Hospital data:


UK total: today it falls below 10,000 for whole UK.

I await the BBC news to tell you this - probably sometime next week.

That's great news, @Healdplace . Well done on beating the BBC to bring us this milestone.

Perhaps if the BBC had people who did some actual research like you do, rather than just copying the news off tweets and Facebook posts, they'd have got there on time.