Plan B taken forward for several weeks. | Cases
Peak: 600,000 to 2 million per day. Timing: Late December 2021 to January 2022. | Hospitalisations
Peak: 3,000 to 10,000 admissions per day. Timing: January to February 2022. Shape: increase over December and January to peak, declining over March to April 2022. | Deaths
Peak: 600 to 6,000 deaths per day. Timing: Mid-January to mid-March 2022. |
This is SAGEs best case scenario for the continuation of Plan B, Published on the 15th Dec. People can draw their own conclusions. But its very difficult to argue that this is anything but way off the mark so far. Unless you like to argue that is?! :-)