Coronavirus (2022) thread

[Deleted member 77198]

Not press i read the report. I gave you their best case a week or so back. 3000 to 10000 admissions a day.

But like I said, they can only forecast from previous data so their advice might be very different to the forecasts. Which is why we’ve barely had any restrictions this Winter despite the amount of cases where forecasts would suggest there’d be more deaths.

 

[paulchapo]

Arghhhh tested bloody positive after my return from holiday. Is it 5 days isolation now?

 

[blueparrot]

Arghhhh tested bloody positive after my return from holiday. Is it 5 days isolation now?

Probably 7ish best to plan for, think you need 2 negatives for 5, 7 too as far as I know. Don’t know anyone thats got negatives after just 5 days though. My daughter had no symptoms but was sill positive on day 10.

 

[andyhinch]

That’s a pretty obnoxious thing to post, and a ludicrous generalisation. How do you know what the health status of most forum members is?

 

[paulchapo]

Probably 7ish best to plan for, think you need 2 negatives for 5, 7 too as far as I know. Don’t know anyone thats got negatives after just 5 days though. My daughter had no symptoms but was sill positive on day 10.

Yes I'll ring the NHS helpline. They need to send me some test kits as I couldn't get hold of any before I went away.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

Good evening Kaz,

Kaz their best case scenario for Omicron under the continuation of plan B was for between 3000 and 10000 hospital admissions per day in England. Their other scenarios were worse with much higher numbers. We got to just over 2000 for a few days. Now you can try and spin it what ever way you can, but there is no way on gods earth that you can in any way shape or form say that their scenarios were anything other than a long long way out. I happen to think that is embassasing especially considering they were told by the SA scientists that Omicron wasnt as severe. Alot of people and the media remember these cock ups, you choose to ignore or excuse them which is your right, but in doing so it doesnt make the numbers any more accurate. The Autumn predictions were well wide of the mark aswel. Their credibility has taken a bit of a knock to be frank.

This was not a "best case" as you know, having read the report.

 

[kevin horlocks wand]

UK is over worst of Covid but beware of bumps on the road, says Prof Ferguson

Epidemiologist optimistic that UK deaths and hospitalisations will fall thanks to high immunity levels

www.theguardian.com

few bumps still but worst over says prof lockdown.

 

[Churchlawtonblue]

But like I said, they can only forecast from previous data so their advice might be very different to the forecasts. Which is why we’ve barely had any restrictions this Winter despite the amount of cases where forecasts would suggest there’d be more deaths.

Their advice was for more restrictions beyond Plan B. Johnson decided to ignore their advice.

 

[Churchlawtonblue]

I would much rather they are cautious , scientist are by nature , you have to listen to the likes of south africa but science is replicating results in different trials and conditions , you cant just take one opinion in a different country and assume it will be the same in other countries with loads of differences , that is science

We shall have to agree to dissagree Kaz. Have a good evening.

 

[Churchlawtonblue]

UK is over worst of Covid but beware of bumps on the road, says Prof Ferguson

Epidemiologist optimistic that UK deaths and hospitalisations will fall thanks to high immunity levels

www.theguardian.com

few bumps still but worst over says prof lockdown.

Amazing how quick some will do a uturn when they realise they are wrong, but still want the limelight.