Coronavirus (2022) thread

[PragueBlue]

First day of no compulsory masks indoors today here, except health facilities and public transport where masks still have to be worn until mi-April.

 

[roubaixtuesday]

Regardless of what steps we took Britain would have always been one of the worst effected nations as everything was in favour of Covid - climate,our four nations approach across borders that no bug ever sees, high care home dependency and dense population (in two senses of that word!)

Can't agree at all.

Many other nations with similar issues did significantly better. None have (yet) done significantly worse.

 

[Healdplace]

Fair enough, I am not an expert in politics or pandemics.

 

[Alan Harper's Tash]

If this hybrid variant remains non fatal for the vast majority, we need as many people as possible to get it before the winter to put us in the best position to face up to whatever is thrown our way then.

 

[FantasyIreland]

 

[Alan Harper's Tash]

View attachment 38505

Good shout. It’s totally disappeared and of zero threat to us now.

Scientists should just move on.

#Lol

 

[Healdplace]

Scotland has had a big rise in patients and ventilated over recent days. Up 445 in the week to 1805 today. That is the highest number here in 14 months and higher than the previous Omicron numbers ever were this winter. Also four times as many as were in hospital this day last year (461).

Ventilated patients also up 50% in a week - 18 to 27. Though that is below the 40 from the 461 patients a year ago. So rising but not yet a serious concern. Just more than it was. And might go either way this week.

England hospital deaths are also up today week to week - though only marginally. There already is clearly going to be the first increase in the total over the past 7 days since they started falling in late January after the first Omicron wave had peaked.

England hospital deaths are also showing a small upper age range drift too which the vaccines have kept in check, Over the past 3 days there were 124 deaths here in total and 85 of them were aged over 80. That is a little higher than this difference has been in proportion

In contrast there are ZERO under 40. And only 4 under 60.

This has always been the most vulnerabe gr oup but I am seeing suggestions of waning vaccine impact here and care home outbreaks seem to be edging back up again too. Though still only by small margins

We appear at a tipping point with this new variant. The next few days will tell which way it tips.

 

[Healdplace]

To complete my promised weekly Monday round up of where we are - not good news on the hospital front in England. Though no surprise given the other numbers this weekend.

The biggest weekend rise in weeks - from 9369 Friday to 10,576 today - up 668 today alone.

This is up from 8923 last Monday (when the rise was 421). Up 1653 V a rise of just 385 last Monday. Every region in England is up by a modestly large number. NW - 143 over the weekend to 1514.

All 7 regions are between 1081 and 1823 - closer together than I ever recall them.Usually one or two stnd out. But this cases wave is UK wide at the same time unlike the ste by step spread when we had restrctions.

Might - hopefully - mean the fall will be quicker as all have risen together.

The worse news is that whilst Ventilators kept falling over the weekend from 221 to 215 - they went up today by 24 to 239 - biggest jump in a while. Though Monday rises are not rare so we will need to see where it goes from here.


Gov UK data is delayed as it now collates as one set all the past three days data. So was the last two Mondays as well. But given the admissions 1414 - 1412 - 1368 V 1226 - 1044 - 1050 over the same three days last weekend it seems sure cases will have risen again. Though admissions are 48 hours behind so these three days are Thursday - Friday - Saturday.

Deaths - from the numbers we have - ARE rising too but only modestly week to week.

 

[Healdplace]

Gov UK update excludes Scotland for the whole weekend due to major issues making all their data unavailable fpr the past 3 days it seems.

For the other 3 nations :- 170,985 cases - last Monday (with Scotland included) was 126,604 - so it looks at least a 50% week to week rise when Scotland is added.

England only 163,954 V 95,324 last Monday - as you can see a pretty huge weekly rise of about 75%.

Last weeks Monday to Monday rise was just over 50% (60,595 to 95,324).

Yes these are just cases but they are the biggest numbers I can recall.

Deaths are 135 V 139 last week but that is minus the Scotland weekend numbers which last week were 21.

England alone is up on 125 today V 107 last week.

Hope next Monday's report has better news as if it keeps rising this fast milder or not hospital numbers will start to become an issue.

 

[Blue and still suffering]

It seems to spreading like wild fire at the moment, the number of people we know that have caught it in the past fortnight is far greater than at any time during the pandemic, it's a good job there is a war on to take people's mind off it.