Coronavirus (2022) thread

Healdplace said:
Gov UK update excludes Scotland for the whole weekend due to major issues making all their data unavailable fpr the past 3 days it seems.

For the other 3 nations :- 170,985 cases - last Monday (with Scotland included) was 126,604 - so it looks at least a 50% week to week rise when Scotland is added.

England only 163,954 V 95,324 last Monday - as you can see a pretty huge weekly rise of about 75%.

Last weeks Monday to Monday rise was just over 50% (60,595 to 95,324).

Yes these are just cases but they are the biggest numbers I can recall.

Deaths are 135 V 139 last week but that is minus the Scotland weekend numbers which last week were 21.

England alone is up on 125 today V 107 last week.

Hope next Monday's report has better news as if it keeps rising this fast milder or not hospital numbers will start to become an issue.
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If the worst comes to it, given vax levels we should be more like Denmark than Hong Kong at least

Both have had a similar huge BA2 case spike, but the deaths are poles apart (and a significant portion of the DK ones likely incidental)

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roubaixtuesday said:
FT on Hong Kong.

The fatality rate of omicron there looks to be not dissimilar to the original strain (~5% CFR), which is an interesting reflection on the belief that it's inherently mild.

China could be in big trouble, given the comments about their vax rate and poor efficacy of the Sinovac vaccine.

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It’s always been a mistaken belief that it’s mild. It’s mild in comparison to delta, not the original strain, and it’s effects have been mitigated significantly from vaccines.
 
Scotland have now sorted out their data issues that have meant I could not post my weekly update for this part of the UK yesterday as we had had no numbers since Friday.

38,770 cases in the 4 days is not a big increase on the days last week (it was 36,173 over the four days last week).

25 deaths is up from 19 last Tuesday but covers extra days when last week there were 40 in total. So is down.

Biggest concern though is the fast rising hospital numbers. These are up 191 just today to 1996. That is a big rise in Scotland terms. 10% in a day.

It was 1440 last Tuesday so that is up 556 in a week - pushing 40% rise.

That is the highest number with Covid in hospital in Scotland since the height of the January 2021 wave and only 57 lower than the highest number at any point in the whole two years of the pandemic in Scotland.

Ventilator icu cases have doubled in the past 7 days also to 33 today.

But on that day last year in January when there were 57 more patients than today (2053) there were then 99 on ventilators - exactly 3 times today.

So that is a little better news.

But the current hospital numbers in Scotland are the worst since the vaccination programme started to bite. And whilst they were much worse when we had no vaccines with lower patient numbers but higher deaths and there is no panic over these numbers - they do need monitoring as this is the most serious things have been in Scotland over the past 14 months.

This gives context to the news today that Scotland has decided not to remove all therulesinvolving masks.
 
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Thirty million people in 13 cities across China have been put back into a Covid-19 lockdown with hazmat-wearing officials back on the streets on a scale not seen since the pandemic began.
 
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