Healdplace
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 May 2013
- Messages
- 15,985
The deaths are inevitably rising a these lag the big jump in cases pre Christmas by a coupe of weeks or more. So they are a sad legacy of the passage through the age ranges. Very few under 30 are dying. Though some are. The vast majority are over 60. And always will be. Cases have mostly up to now beem in the younger age ranges - 19 and under especially, then 20 - 39. Very few in the over 60s. As those Northerm Ireland diagrams I post here now and then show.
But as these also show the numbers in the over 60s have been edging up in the past two weeks alomgside signifucant jumps in care home outbreaks in both N Ireland and Scotland (10% of all cases from staff in these from the entire 2 years of the pandemic in the last 2 weeks and half that much in residents).
So this Christmas/New Year has seen a big transfer into the more vunerable ages which the media are ot reporting. If it is happenimg in those two countries you can bet it is in England with the potential for big numbers.
~
If deaths go up in coming days I suspect these will be a big factor in why.
But as these also show the numbers in the over 60s have been edging up in the past two weeks alomgside signifucant jumps in care home outbreaks in both N Ireland and Scotland (10% of all cases from staff in these from the entire 2 years of the pandemic in the last 2 weeks and half that much in residents).
So this Christmas/New Year has seen a big transfer into the more vunerable ages which the media are ot reporting. If it is happenimg in those two countries you can bet it is in England with the potential for big numbers.
~
If deaths go up in coming days I suspect these will be a big factor in why.