COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[George Hannah]

Yeah but death rate is death rate. Whether killing young and fit or old and frail. As it is, it seems Spanish Flu had a far great mortality rate, which is a bonus.

BBC Health Editor Fergal Sharkey or some such just told the nation the current virus has a likely mortality rate of 1%. Then he pointed out reassuringly that the influenza pandemic of 1918 had a mortality rate of 2% - which caused 50 million+ deaths among a world population of 250 million - less than a quarter of what it is now. Not very reassuring on the face of it.

 

[dronefromsector7G]

I can't tell my cat of 7 yrs that she can't come near me when she has been attatched to me day and night since i got her,i think that bit of the advice is over the top

How about Dylan’s hammer advice?

 

[kaz7]

Smash the little ****'s head in with a hammer before it's too late.

 

[lancs blue]

BBC Health Editor Fergal Sharkey or some such just told the nation the current virus has a likely mortality rate of 1%. Then he pointed out reassuringly that the influenza pandemic of 1918 had a mortality rate of 2% - which caused 50 million+ deaths among a world population of 250 million - less than a quarter of what it is now. Not very reassuring on the face of it.

Either there are a couple of typos in there or the BBC's grasp of Maths is on the same level as its football punditry.

 

[bluethrunthru]

It is a scandal that companies like Amazon are boosting prices on things like alcohol hand sanitisers to cash in against something that will genuinely help.

It will be the same sort of algorithms they use to price airline and concert tickets and suchlike - as demand increases the "system" automatically increases price to optimise the profit available from a vigorous market.

 

[AlgarveBlu]

That is the CFR, so will likely be higher than the ‘actual’ mortality rate, but I agree it is interesting even so, and the lower transmission rate is a surprising assertion. I wonder if that is down to initial precautions and the overall global growth rate declining due to relative containment in China (since it is the main contributor at this point) and if that will actually last as things progress.

The biggest takeaway from that for me is that “transmission does not appear to be driven by people who are not sick”, which is in conflict with a lot of findings/guidance released previously by the WHO, CDC, and a few other major research entities. I hope that holds to be true, as it will significantly limit transmission.

yes, forgot about the cases that have not been diagnosed. Transmission capabilities will be key, I thought that the labs/hospitals around the world would have got a better handle on those stats by now.

 

[Uffa]

BBC Health Editor Fergal Sharkey or some such just told the nation the current virus has a likely mortality rate of 1%. Then he pointed out reassuringly that the influenza pandemic of 1918 had a mortality rate of 2% - which caused 50 million+ deaths among a world population of 250 million - less than a quarter of what it is now. Not very reassuring on the face of it.

It depends on what you mean by mortality rate. The mortality rate that's being reported for this virus is the CFR (case fatality rate), which = (deaths by virus/infected people). The 1918 flu had a CFR between 10% and 20%, not of 2%, as I discussed earlier with SWP. That 2% for the 1918 flu was = (deaths by virus/whole world population, healthy and infected). And the world population in 1918 was most certainly not of 250 million people lol

 

[SWP's back]

BBC Health Editor Fergal Sharkey or some such just told the nation the current virus has a likely mortality rate of 1%. Then he pointed out reassuringly that the influenza pandemic of 1918 had a mortality rate of 2% - which caused 50 million+ deaths among a world population of 250 million - less than a quarter of what it is now. Not very reassuring on the face of it.

Having so recently lost my father and with my mother being both 65 and at risk having had a heart attack 15 years ago, I’ve pretty much quarantined her for the foreseeable. Bless her.

 

[SWP's back]

It depends on what you mean by mortality rate. The mortality rate that's being reported for this virus is the CFR (case fatality rate), which = (deaths by virus/infected people). The 1918 flu had a CFR between 10% and 20%, not of 2%, as I discussed earlier with SWP. That 2% for the 1918 flu was = (deaths by virus/whole world population, healthy and infected). And the world population in 1918 was most certainly not of 250 million people lol

Guardian saying 18-20 Flu was only 2% in the “developed world”, was 10-20% in India and a few others (India lost 20m people, the same as the entire First World War).

 

[Ban-jani]

Guardian saying 18-20 Flu was only 2% in the “developed world”, was 10-20% in India and a few others (India lost 20m people, the same as the entire First World War).

That is truly astonishingly shit.

Imagine going through the trenches and then returning home to that, whilst living in poverty.