Chippy_boy
Well-Known Member
I'm sure you're right, I was just pointing out that their circa 1,000 deaths yesterday should be considered in the context of the size of their population. I imagine the figures in the US are going to get similar to the aggregate peak across Europe. Perhaps higher due to their fragmented healthcare system and greater levels of inequality. But perhaps not because they seem to have got a real shift on with testing, which us, France and Spain - for example - have not.If they get everything perfect then 100,000 to 240,000.
If they don’t handle it well, 1.5m to 2.2m deaths.
According to their models they spoke of last night. I doubt Uk, France, Germany et al will get near those figures as a group.
it's also important to remember that the 100,000 etc figures relate to perhaps December 31st 2021 when we can look back and count up. Not how many died in the peak over the next month or so.