COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Rammy Blue said:
Neil Ferguson thought we’d get away with deaths being under 5k so I wouldn’t take too much notice of what he says.....
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Is this the most bluemoon post ever? Neil Ferguson is quite possible the foremost and most revered epidemiologist in the world. He's not just being asked to spearhead Britain's modelling, but his team at ICL also helped half a dozen other governments and his code is being packaged by Microsoft and sent to every country in the world for them to base their response and further research on.

Or as the NY Times referred to him -

Imperial College has advised the government on its response to previous epidemics, including SARS, avian flu and swine flu. With ties to the World Health Organization and a team of 50 scientists, led by a prominent epidemiologist, Neil Ferguson, Imperial is treated as a sort of gold standard, its mathematical models feeding directly into government policies.​


But he predicted we might get under 6,000 deaths and now we might not, so Rammy Blue and Worzel Gummidge think he's not worth listening to...
 
domalino said:
Is this the most bluemoon post ever? Neil Ferguson is quite possible the foremost and most revered epidemiologist in the world. He's not just being asked to spearhead Britain's modelling, but his team at ICL also helped half a dozen other governments and his code is being packaged by Microsoft and sent to every country in the world for them to base their response and further research on.


But he predicted we might get under 6,000 deaths and now we might not, so Rammy Blue and Worzel Gummidge think he's not worth listening to...
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Hahaha, surprise surprise that you pop your head up. Knew if I threw that reply out you’d be on it like a fly on shit.

You didn’t disappoint, lol.
 
domalino said:
Is this the most bluemoon post ever? Neil Ferguson is quite possible the foremost and most revered epidemiologist in the world. He's not just being asked to spearhead Britain's modelling, but his team at ICL also helped half a dozen other governments and his code is being packaged by Microsoft and sent to every country in the world for them to base their response and further research on.


But he predicted we might get under 6,000 deaths and now we might not, so Rammy Blue and Worzel Gummidge think he's not worth listening to...
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Figure of 5700 didn't come from him.
 
Gelsons Dad said:
Testing allows isolation but testing doesn't reduce the % of infected that die. The quality of health care does that. Not the number of tests.
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That’s not remotely true.

If we are only testing hospitalised cases and they are testing anyone with symptoms or asymptomatic cases, then of course our CFR is going to be higher.

Therefore going back to your post, we may have similar numbers of “officially confirmed” cases, but we may, in reality, have ten times the number of infected citizens. Therefore I can only assume you didn’t think your post through in relation to the post you quoted.
 
Rammy Blue said:
Hahaha, surprise surprise that you pop your head up. Knew if I threw that reply out you’d be on it like a fly on shit.

You didn’t disappoint, lol.
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Laughing at the anti-intellectuals on here who think they know better than the best people in the world in their field is something of a past time.
 
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