COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[cleavers]

England up from


AS i said it is lower than this day last weekend so that infers not

Maybe, and hopefully.

 

[Healdplace]

Unfortunately the hospital patient numbers are up significantly again. Possibly the highest yet.

162 in the day to make it 1883 in England and well over 2000 in the UK now.

6 July was last time it was this high.

 

[Healdplace]

Ventilator beds also up another 12 in England on the day to 245.

It was 154 seven days ago.


Of course, changes to these figures - patients and ventilators - would lag behind any change to case numbers as testing positive comes first, then getting sick enough to be hospitalised, then needing a ventilator, then dying.

So these do not necessarily negate a drop in cases today being real.

 

[bluejon]

You post , people rep!y

I'd just prefer it if you didn't. Ignore me, I've been doing the same with you. We'll see in a few weeks if my predictions are right or not. Until then, stay safe.

 

[Healdplace]

60 of those extra 162 patients are in the North West taking the regional number up to 604.

It was 393 last Monday.

Ventilators in NW also up 6 to 74 today. Was 40 last Monday.

 

[west didsblue]

I'd just prefer it if you didn't. Ignore me, I've been doing the same with you. We'll see in a few weeks if my predictions are right or not. Until then, stay safe.

Can you remind me what are your predictions? I don't recall any other than scepticism that the current reported rises are significant, but that isn't really a prediction.

 

[Healdplace]

London up 44 patients to 257 - ventilators stay at 48

Midlands up just 12 patients to 360 - ventilators stay at 53

Yorkshire up 33 patients to 441 - ventilators up 3 to 55

So the North West has taken the brunt of the England hospital rises in the past 24 hours. Unsurprisingly given the size of the epidemic in the region.

 

[Cityfan]

I'm not ignoring cases because they are cases, I just believe that the data on cases is far too noisy to draw any meaningful conclusions from. The data collection methods, the companies collecting, the populations they are sampling from, the number of tests etc etc. The hospital numbers are much more concrete.

All data is noisy including hospital admissions, deaths and ITU figures.
Age structure and better treatment will affect these.
Basic ONS random sampling shows increasing numbers.

 

[blue b4 the moon]

The last 48 hours have seemed to suggest from a few of the indicators that we might be seeing positive signs.

Early days but good to be optimistic.

Already waiting for tomorrow, if that's low even with all the covidiots out there etc I'll be very pleasantly surprised and hopefully we can all look forward......and buy some toilet rolls.

 

[Gabriel]

Why is this not being pushed into production to arrive on our shelves within a month? It's not dangerous. Science is too fucking slow to approve treatments sometimes.

Preventative nasal spray shown to reduce viral replication by up to 96% in COVID-19 challenge study

New preventative nasal spray treatment that could protect people from COVID-19 infection and prevent transmission announced Novel therapy developed by...

www.prnewswire.co.uk

Given that it has only been tested in ferrets and with no humans whatsoever, would you consider your call for fast tracking prudent or perilous? ;-)