COVID-19 — Coronavirus

[Marvin]

It’s still the case fataility rate tho.

and as I keep pointing out. In China the WHO looked for the iceberg assuming the known cases were the tip, they didn’t find it. So this is the calculation they are using to calculate mortality rate.

There was a small testing regime in a Northern Italian town that was in the papers yesterday. They tested a whole town and by the end of it there had been no new cases at all when all around the virus rages. They found several asymptomatic cases.

We'll find out the extent of it when the antibody test comes in.

Fatality rate (deaths / total known cases) in South Korea is low (1%). There they did loads of testing. I think it must be under 1% because you can miss cases but you're less likely to miss deaths.

 

[BosnianBlue]

It's what we would expect to happen given the measures taken. Spain probably has another 7 days growth during which deaths will hit 3,000 and then a decline.

UK? Who knows. Depends on Boris. If he carries on being vague the numbers will supercede Spain and Italy.

I see UK and USA going to top in 2 weeks at most.

 

[Marvin]

That is what I was implying.
I didnt know about the arthritis use though.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydroxychloroquine#Medical_use

 

[AlgarveBlu]

Some woman on the news in a piece about social distancing in other countries and the lack of it here has just said nothing much has changed for her because if they follow advice they’re giving in to it. “It” being a virus that doesn’t understand the concept of defiance. Some people deserve to die.

I saw that interview and I did recoil in horror as well, she just needs to be better educated by family and friends, if everyone deserved to die of ignorance there wouldn't be many of us left.

 

[George Hannah]

Er. fuck off George.

Along with the rest of those who support what's being achieved by our government in an unprecedented crisis eh?

 

[JULES]

we now have a 2pm to 5am curfew with troops about, could get interesting ! no cases where we live as of yet , so its wort the hassle

 

[BlueAnorak]

Some Manchester students on the news this morning “ we’re just going out , everyone’s still going clubbing , it’s just the flu , we’re carrying on “
You can’t advise the people in this country there’s too many selfish thick cnuts , should shut all pubs clubs & restaurants immediately . Gatherings of 5 people maximum . Our rulers are slow bungling fools & people will die because of their inaction .

I suspect the logic goes along these lines...
Let these twats catch it and spread it amongst themselves - so long as they keep away from their grandparents and folks with health issues, they will stop being a problem to recovery of the country from this dreadful illness very soon.
Like isolating a group in those 'bouncing bal'l viral spread simulations.

 

[Cotswold Knight]

Is it Morrissey's birthday?

No there going to play that awful scouse shit that the bindippers sing and sky make you watch the fuckers singing it

 

[cibaman]

Have they said who the key workers are?

 

[grunge]

There was a small testing regime in a Northern Italian town that was in the papers yesterday. They tested a whole town and by the end of it there had been no new cases at all when all around the virus rages. They found several asymptomatic cases.

We'll find out the extent of it when the antibody test comes in.

Fatality rate (deaths / total known cases) in South Korea is low (1%). There they did loads of testing. I think it must be under 1% because you can miss cases but you're less likely to miss deaths.

Yeah SK’s CFR is a lot more hopeful!

 

[robbieh]

Just to add from 5 March to the 12 march Italy's deaths rise from 148 to 1016 a multiplication of 6.86.

From 12 march to today, the 19th, deaths rose to 3405 a multiplication of 3.35.

I think that is good news.

It does highlight how quick these things move.

 

[AlgarveBlu]

one thing I can think of ( based on dr Campbell’s videos ) is they recon 70% of china’s cases were the new strain. They did say say that one was more deadly but if it hit after lock down then it’s confined mostly to family groups so not a lot of community spread, hence not finding it much in the community?

It is odd how what we see does seem to contradict the WHO.

Any theories as to why we have not heard any further commentary on these two sub types ? this was identified some time ago and now that we have data ( it’s crass I know) from Italy and Spain I had been anticipating further scientific feedback on the types of infections that were being spread throughout Europe.

 

[incred]

we now have a 2pm to 5am curfew with troops about, could get interesting ! no cases where we live as of yet , so its wort the hassle

Where's that?

 

[kaz7]

Have they said who the key workers are?

NHS,delivery drivers ,forgot the rest

 

[grunge]

There was a small testing regime in a Northern Italian town that was in the papers yesterday. They tested a whole town and by the end of it there had been no new cases at all when all around the virus rages. They found several asymptomatic cases.

We'll find out the extent of it when the antibody test comes in.

Fatality rate (deaths / total known cases) in South Korea is low (1%). There they did loads of testing. I think it must be under 1% because you can miss cases but you're less likely to miss deaths.

for reference this was the interview with the WHO Chinese investigator. It was at this point( maybe the next day ) they swapped CFA with mortality rate.

https://www.vox.com/2020/3/2/21161067/coronavirus-covid19-china


I hope they are wrong. Only time will tell. I can’t help but think we said what we did to try to maintain calm but I hope I’m wrong.

 

[Tim of the Oak]

Or how about this:
get Greta out of her box to appeal to their ever so global sensitivities. After all, she thinks older people have stolen her childhood and she has motivated the youth to claim they want to save the planet. Right now the youth and stealing older peoples lives imagine the effect of her saying that?

Any update on Tommy Robinson’s attempt to become a citizen of a country that hasn’t got the virus?

 

[Ban-jani]

My Mrs has been told by a council worker she knows there’ll be a lockdown in the next couple of days

I’ve heard from someone who works with the police the same but I often wonder if it’s them expecting it rather than knowing mate.

Fingers crossed it’s true.

 

[robbieh]

Along with the rest of those who support what's being achieved by our government in an unprecedented crisis eh?

Sorry. Bugger all is being achieved and in 2 weeks time the evidence will be damning.

 

[blue b4 the moon]

No there going to play that awful scouse shit that the bindippers sing and sky make you watch the fuckers singing it

FFS isn't the world in enough shit as it is?

 

[grunge]

Any theories as to why we have not heard any further commentary on these two sub types ? this was identified some time ago and now that we have data ( it’s crass I know) from Italy and Spain I had been anticipating further scientific feedback on the types of infections that were being spread throughout Europe.

I wish I knew! I’ve not seen anything since that Dr Campbell video about the 2 types.
I’ll def be posting here if I see any thing