COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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It won't happen anyway, currently the largest growth in many areas is amongst kids, and its not approved for them anyway, and the people needing protection most are the over 70's and most vulnerable (as well as health workers), so that will continue to be the target.
I think it would be unwise not to address the cluster with vaccines. Even with Tier 4 restrictions it will spread geographically. of course it will do anyway but we want to minimise the 'seeds'. And needless to say vaccination will take months and this is doubling in the SE & London every 6 days. Let's see how the variables play out for there are many unknowns.
 
Looking at the curve will be a political decision on when to reduce measures a lot of the risk is mitigated very early in programme.
Courtesy of @twosips

View attachment 7019

Great visualisation that, and cause for optimism.

A note of caution: whilst the median age of death is 82, the median age of hospitalisation is much lower, 62.

There's a danger that we relax too soon according to the logic of that graph and end up with an out of control epidemic amongst u70s which still has the capability to knock out NHS capability and cause lasting harm to millions.
 
I highly doubt they'll want to keep London in Tier 4 lockdown until march (the target for vaccinating the over 50s).
Vaccinating people who don't need it wouldn't help the situation either.

The vaccine doesn't stop the spread, it prevents serious illness and death amongst the old/vulnerable, which is why it's been targetted at those it has first.
 
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