I was looking at the Italy stats earlier, waiting for the latest figures from their 5pm press conference today (still waiting). I was struck by the dramatic increases in the number of deaths and just how smooth the graph looked and how predictable it seemed. So in an idle moment, I decided to graph it, and here it is. You can see exactly why the Italian government went into panic mode! It shows that since Feb 25, the number of dead has increased by a factor of 10, roughly every 7 or 8 days. I am sure the graph will flatten off - I do not expect to see 100,000 dead before the end of the month, but when it will start to flatten off, who knows.
In the meantime, we just need to wash our hands a bit more often.