COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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GM SCOREBOARD:

Total cases 3 weeks v 2 wks v last week v today:- 2587 v 1150 v 853 v 652 today - shows the clear fall.



Manchester 152 – down from 153. Total cases 31, 454. Weekly 972. Back sub 1000. Pop score up 27 to 5689. Weekly Pop down 6 to 175.

Bolton 80 – down from 87. Total cases 15, 307. Weekly 543, Pop score up 28 to 5323. Weekly Pop down 2 to 189.

Wigan 67 – down from 121. Matches lowest score since August. Total cases 16, 765. Weekly 620.. Pop score up 20 to 5101. Weekly Pop down 13 to 189. Almost all of GM now have pop scores sub 200. Much as I am OK with it tier 3 is not justified on these falling numbers.

Oldham 65- up from 56. Total cases 14, 957. Weekly 460, Pop score up 27 to 6308. Weekly Pop up 1 to 194.

Rochdale 61 - down from 96. Total cases 12, 853. Weekly 507. Pop score up 27 to 5779. Weekly Pop down a massive 39 to 228. And GM is well on the way to be entirely sub 200 weekly Pop scores.

Bury 59 – down from 92. Total cases 9920. Weekly 425. Pop score up 31 – most in GM today - to 5194. Weekly Pop stays at 222. Bury having the most difficult time in GM right now for some reason.

Stockport 58 – up from 57. Total cases 10, 672. Weekly 359. Pop score up 20 to 3637. Weekly Pop up 1 to 122. (Had 56 cases this day last week is why the rise!) Struggling to get below this level. Costing it the GM lead over Trafford in both Pop measures very soon. Whilst well down like everywhere should be doing better than it is.

Tameside 42 – down from 59. Total cases 10, 555. Weekly 322. Pop score up 18 to 4660. Weekly Pop down 8 to 142. Tameside has gone the other way and is doing much better than it was.

Salford 40 – down from 61. Total cases 13, 493. Weekly 358. Pop score up 15 to 5213. Weekly Pop down 7 to 138. The success of Salford is the big story that most have missed. From hundreds of cases a day to now less in a week almost than they had in just one day 3 weeks or so back. This is what Salford did in the Summer after wave 1 and why it was before August the borough with the lowest Pop Score in GM – not Stockport – let alone Trafford – now in pole position to take it over. They too might have to keep an eye on this city under the radar progress.

Trafford 28– up from 25. Best in GM as ever. Three weeks of sub 100 numbers. Total cases 8790. Weekly 231. Clear leader still. Pop score up 11 to 3703. Lowest in GM as usual and cut the gap to Stockport by 9 for overall Pop score to just 66. Will be top before Christmas easily at this rate. Weekly Pop down 5 to 97 the first GM borough to drop under 100 in 3 months, But Stockport not at the races with them doing so 24 hours later as was true then.

I think this is more evidence of how that time when Stockport took the exclusion from the GM restrictions in late Summer when Trafford declined the offer made a lasting difference.

But I suspect they will make the same mistake if offered an out from tier 3. Hopefully Trafford have the same sense as they did then.
 
For andyhinch - Cheshire East 60 cases - down from 81. Total cases 9175. Pop score up 15 to 2388. Weekly Pop down to 122 - exactly the same as Stockport for GM comparison.
 
Blimey, all kicking off politically.

EU now claiming the UK have not analysed all the data:


And Fauci over in the US with a quite remarkable claim that the UK hasn't done it safely:



Ruffled feathers this, hasn't it.
 
Just realised I did not get round to the England hospital deaths by date today as I had lots of phone calls. So just for completeness here it is.

2 Dec adds 48 = 48 after 1 day (Last wk 63 added = 63)

1 Dec adds 141 = 196 after 2 days (Last wk 154 added = 210)

30 Nov adds 40 = 216 after 3 days (Last wk 58 added = 253)

29 Nov adds 28 = 286 after 4 days (Last wk 28 added = 292)

28 Nov adds 14 = 281 after 5 days (Last wk 21 added = 236)

Every day bar one adds less than the equivalent day last week, with the other the same as last week, And all bar 28 Nov has a lower total than then.

This is very good signs that we might have peaked the deaths in this wave finally. Though things could change.

Other add ons sees these dates change: 27 Nov now 264, 26 Nov now 277, 25 Nov now 309, 24 Nov now 297, 22 Nov now 308.

The peak remains 317 on 18 November.
 
Just realised I did not get round to the England hospital deaths by date today as I had lots of phone calls. So just for completeness here it is.

2 Dec adds 48 = 48 after 1 day (Last wk 63 added = 63)

1 Dec adds 141 = 196 after 2 days (Last wk 154 added = 210)

30 Nov adds 40 = 216 after 3 days (Last wk 58 added = 253)

29 Nov adds 28 = 286 after 4 days (Last wk 28 added = 292)

28 Nov adds 14 = 281 after 5 days (Last wk 21 added = 236)

Every day bar one adds less than the equivalent day last week, with the other the same as last week, And all bar 28 Nov has a lower total than then.

This is very good signs that we might have peaked the deaths in this wave finally. Though things could change.

Other add ons sees these dates change: 27 Nov now 264, 26 Nov now 277, 25 Nov now 309, 24 Nov now 297, 22 Nov now 308.

The peak remains 317 on 18 November.
Does this mean (forgive me I've never got my head round this one) that the highest number of deaths on a particular day is really 317 ?

If so how do we explain the very high numbers on some days ?

Begs the question why this is not reported rather than "daily deaths" which clearly they aren't.
 
Blimey, all kicking off politically.

EU now claiming the UK have not analysed all the data:


And Fauci over in the US with a quite remarkable claim that the UK hasn't done it safely:



Ruffled feathers this, hasn't it.

It’s laughable, as they will all approve it anyway.
 
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