COVID Data Thread

ENGLAND REGIONS BY CASE NUMBERS TODAY

CASES - Up/Down on day V Last Week


SOUTH EAST 4599 - UP 31 V 4918

NORTH WEST 3525 - UP 562 V 3626

SOUTH WEST 3387 - UP 191 V 3970

EAST 3180 - UP 297 V 3431

WEST MIDLANDS 3114 - UP 654 V 2724

LONDON 2845 - UP 110 V 2941

EAST MIDLANDS 2748 - UP 499 V 2407

YORKSHIRE 2432 - DOWN 2 V 2752

NORTH EAST 1566 - UP 467 V 1691
 
GREATER MANCHESTER BOROUGHS WEEKLY CASES


Oldham 626, Bury 664, Salford 696, Trafford 826, Tameside 831, Bolton 837, Rochdale 848, Stockport 986, Wigan 1087, Manchester 1467

These numbers looking a lot more like they should in normal times and Stockport's big week of falls takes it below 1000 for first time in over a month.

Oldham best of the pack daily now.
 
GREATER MANCHESTER TODAY CASES V POP SCORES

BOROUGH - CURRENT WEEKLY POP SCORE - Up/Down on day (LOWEST SCORE BEST) // CASES (c) TODAY v CASES LAST WEEK // POP SCORE RISE TODAY - UP TO - TOTAL POP SCORE OVER THE WHOLE PANDEMIC (LOWEST IS STILL BEST)


OLDHAM 263 (LEVEL) // 85 c v 84 c // POP SCORE 35 - UP TO 18,000 - Highest in GM over all of the pandemic

MANCHESTER 264 (DOWN 10) // 178 c v 238 c // POP SCORE 32* - UP TO 17,630 * Lowest Pop Score today

SALFORD 265 (DOWN 14) // 112 c v 150 c // POP SCORE 43 - UP TO 17,742

BOLTON 291 (DOWN 10) // 94 c v 124 c // POP SCORE 33 - UP TO 16,933

WIGAN 329 (DOWN 12) // 171 c v 211 c // POP SCORE 52 - UP TO 17,410

STOCKPORT 335 (DOWN 17) // 130 c v 180 c // POP SCORE 44 - UP TO 16,293 - Lowest in GM over all of the pandemic

BURY 348 (DOWN 7) // 66 c v 79 c // POP SCORE 35 - UP TO 17,132

TRAFFORD 348 (DOWN 8) // 122 c v 140 c // POP SCORE 51 - UP TO 16,650

TAMESIDE 366 (UP 3) // 122 c v 114 c // POP SCORE 54 - UP TO 17,321

ROCHDALE 379 (UP 21) // 141 c v 94 c // POP SCORE 63*- UP TO 17,806 - * Highest Pop Score today







Rochdale had the worst day again and saw its Weekly Pop Score cut further into the lead of neighbour Oldham - who had the best day! The gap now 194.

Though with irony Oldham despite being low again became the first GM borough to enter the 18 K club - though only just on 18,000 exacty!

Salford and Rochdale are likely to join it there over the next week or so. Manchester in 10 days or so.

Stockport had the best day with the largest week to week fall again and is closing in on going sub 300 weekly Pop Score which looked unlikely any time soon even 10 days ago. Pop Score is down 108 from 443 last Tuesday. By far the most.

Stockport now leads Trafford for the lowest Pop Score in GM across the entire pandemic by a whopping 357.

Rochdale's numbers have taken it in the opposite direction to the top of the tree - though itself down 31 from 410 week to week.

In fact rather unexpectedly the only GM borough UP week to week is Bolton - allbeit up by just 2 from 289 across the week. Its numbers have been almost static around 300 - just under or above - for over a month now.


116 now top to bottom in weekly POP scores - solely thanks to Rochdale's big jump up.

The peaks and troughs have evened out as I said a few weeks ago was what we wanted to see for GM returning to normality.

THIS IS A MUCH BETTER WEEKLY POP SCORE TABLE THAN WEWOULD HABE EXPECTED TO SEE WO WEEKS AGO BEFRE THE FALL IN CASES STARTED TO HAPPEN.


WHICH WAY IT WILL GO FROM HERE - THOUGH - IS ANOTHER MATTER!
 
ZOE APP NUMBERS


More good falls today in all measures. And better ones than yesterday. The graph day to day is still falling pretty steeply much as it did in January when the wave ended.

Indeed we are just a day or two away from going below the peak number at the height of the January wave for ongoing infections. Which we have been above now for about a month.



Predicted cases now:-

On 72, 547 DOWN FROM 75,204 yesterday - DOWN 2657 after falls of 1693, 1573 and 2839 on days before that.

Down week to week from 88, 592- a fall of 16,045 over the 7 days after a fall of 13,698 the day before that.


Ongoing symptomatic cases also still falling.

On 1,131,658 FROM 1,146,202 yesterday (down 14, 544 from falls of 12,626 yesterday and 12,579 the day before.

Was 1,220,024 last week- a fall of 88, 366 across the week after falls of 69,541 and 57, 225 in previous days week to week.





IN THE NORTH WEST:- Cases fell by a little less than yesterday - but still a fair drop and NW as a region stays in 7 th place out of the 12 UK regions as it fell from 1032 / 1328 TO 1003 / 1294

If it falls again tomorrow it should drop below 1000 on the first measure for first time in weeks.


Every England region was down today - most by slightly more than the NW - and Wales and N Ireland fell too.

Scotland - not now best in UK - London is - was the only UK region to rise but only a little though for the fifth day running to 736/1032 FROM 731/1031

Even Northern Ireland now THE most infected region on Zoe in the UK fell slightly to 994/2325


London and Scotland were today joined out of the highest watch zone by West MIdlands - who have been falling a lot lately and dropped big again today to 851 / 1037.



Within NW most places falling now.

Wyre is no longer the highest and has dropped steeply to 28K and Wirral is still inching up in the mid to high 31Ks. Fylde has dropped like a stone over the past week from 38K to just 12K. St Helens drops too into the 21Ks. Warrington though is edging up daily and now over St Helens on 23,317.

Much the same in Cheshire - Cheshire East has dropped day by day over the past week from over 29K to 23,898 today. Still above the also falling Cheshire West which has only slowly reduced from 23K to 21,324 today.

These falls are partly why GM - though falling on the whole in the real numbers - is struggling a bit in terms of its share of the NW region. Other parts of the region were much higher than GM and so have more to fall daily and that is impacting the GM split of the real case numbers for now and not just the Zoe predictions


In Greater Manchester pretty well all are fairly flat but edging daily up or down. Though Stockport has started to show hints it might be back on the rise after small increases in past two or three days. Though not up by a lot.

Oldham on just 4869 has been around that number for 5 days now. Oldham still MILES ahead in best spot. Though another borough is coming for it it is one Zoe predicts least well so may not be that accurate.

Stockport is now only fourth BEST on Zoe in GM but just inched UP again by 149 onto 14,311. However, neighbour Tameside is dropping faster and moved into second falling more onto 10,759.

Salford also went ahead of Stockport today falling over 1000 onto 13, 051

Most boroughs are bunched between 16 and 19K having edged up a little (Bolton down just under 17K, Manchester up just over 18K & Wigan up most into mid 19K range and with Rochdale also up over 1000 to 15K

Trafford falls just below 20K on 19,876 and Wigan going the other way is just 400 behind and could overtake it tomorrow.

Leaving Bury still making the biggest rise again today (another 4000) and well clear of the rest by a massive 12,000 - on 31, 358 - the highest in GM right now and for some time by a huge margin as you can see.

And also only just beaten by the Wirral as the highest in the NW having overtaken Wyre today.
 
Last edited:
WALES DATA

18 deaths - was 7 last week - worrying jump here

2171 cases - was 2492 last week

11.5% positivity - was 14% last week

654 patients - was 707 last week

72 ventilated - was 72 last week

SAD TO REPORT THESE ARE THE BEST NUMBERS TODAY. THE OTHER TWO NATIONS ARE MORE DISAPPOINTING
 
SCOTLAND DATA

19 deaths - was 20 last week

3852 cases - was 3495 last week

9.1% positivity - was 7.5% last week

778 patients - UP 25 on yesterday - was 935 last week - good week to week fall but big daily rise

61 ventilated - UP 4 on yesterday - was 63 last week - these now escalating again after a week of falls


THE CONCERN IS THAT THIS MAY WELL BE WHAT IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN TO CASES IN ENGLAND TOO.

HOPEFULLY JUST ONE BAD DAY AS CAN HAPPEN MIDWEEK
 
NORTHERN IRELAND DATA

Worst of the day unfortunately

7 deaths - was 9 last week - at least one thing down

1765 cases - was 995 last week - Doubling to highest number in a couple of months

8775 WEEKLY CASES - WAS 8184 YESTERDAY & 7779 LAST WEEK - BIGGEST WEEKLY JUMP IN MONTHS

38 CARE HOME OUTBREAKS - UP 2 ON YESTERDAY - WAS 44 LAST WEEK - HINTS OF THIS RISING TOO

404 Patients - UP 9 on yesterday - was 378 last week

28 ventilated - same as yesterday - was 30 last week
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL DEATHS

Improvement on yesterday happily as down week to week and after esterday a big drop in North West from highest region yesterday to lowest today

146 with 13 North West

Last week was 158 with 31 NW & Week before 136 with 31 NW


BY REGION:-

East 22, London 22, Midlands 20, NE & Yorkshire 32, North West 13, South East 21, South West 16


Most by trust:-

9 in Bedfordshire & 8 in South Tyneside

NORTH WEST TRUSTS

2 each in Blackpool, Bolton, East Lancashire and Tameside AND 1 each in Pennine Acute, Salford, Southport, Stockport & Wigan


BY AGE:- 20 - 39 (2) 40 - 59 (19), 60 - 79 (64) & 80 PLUS (61)

Almost every day now notably MORE deaths in the 60 - 79 than 80 Plus - which hopefully suggests the boosters may be why as they probably went first to the over 80s
 
Last edited:
214 deaths - was 217 last week

170 in England - was 181 last week - 24 out of hospital today. Was 23 last week out of hospital.

UK cases

39,329 cases - up 6212 on yesterday & down just 1970 on last week

Not good obviously but it actually rose more last Tuesday to Wednesday by 7434 day to day to 41,299. Which was the highest number of the last week.

England only

31,541 up 3669 on yesterday & down 2776 on last week
 
Last edited:
Healdplace said:
214 deaths - was 217 last week

170 in England - was 181 last week - 24 out of hospital today. Was 23 last week out of hospital.

UK cases

39,329 cases - up 6212 on yesterday & down just 1970 on last week

Not good obviously but it actually rose more last Tuesday to Wednesday by 7434 day to day to 41,299. Which was the highest number of the last week.

England only

31,541 up 3669 on yesterday & down 2776 on last week
Click to expand...
Big rise today but there is some catch up on weekend cases on Tue and Wed and the numbers are falling over the 7 day rolling average.
 
Bluehammer here were the cases and Pop Scores today in your two Kent areas so you can track them daily and compare them with GM to follow in later posts.

MEDWAY 136 cases today (UP from 122 yesterday) - Total cases 41,180 - Pop Score 14,752 (Up 48 today) & Weekly Pop Score 284 (UP 3)

DARTFORD 58 cases today (UP from 55 yesterday) - Total cases 18,0132 - Pop Score 15,794 (Up 51 today) & Weekly Pop Score 407 (down 24)
 
Greater Manchester performed on par versus the North West today,


Day to day North West UP 772 to 4297


Of these Greater Manchester was up 295 of that 772 to 1516

About expectation.



Week to week though North West is DOWN from 4574 - a weekly fall of 277


Of these Greater Manchester IS down week to week too - but by 121 from 1637.

So GM falls by a little over the current 35% or so of the NW - which is good when you fall more than par.
 
Greater Manchester Highlights


Given the rise many numbers are up day to day and only Oldham and Rochdale fell on yesterday.

Oldham yet again best in show down 1 to 84 and the only sub 100 borough today.Miles clear of the rest just as Zoe has them too,

Manchester was up the most - by 120 to 298 - but that is actually down week to week on its recent high of 316 last week. Wednesday is often the high point of the week.

Wigan was next highest but way behind Manchester on just 180 and also one of those UP week to week (by 13 - though a few were down week to week).

Trafford (again as Zoe predcted) was third on 172 - UP week to week again. Also had the highest Pop Score today well above the rest and lost a whopping 26 Pop Score points to Stockport today being now way behind - 382 in fact - for best Pop Score across the pandemic.

Stockport was the second biggest week to week faller (only Rochdale fell more) - down 44 on 138.

So Stockport had another very good day.

Bolton was UP by 50 on the day but down by 19 week to week so an OK day too - though on 144 above Stockport and the kind of numbers it had been getting. Bolton's rise being another thingZoe saw coming.

Salford and Tameside also rose by 19 & 26 respectively week to week.
 
I don't get why London Covid-19 cases are so low compared with everywhere else?
Low vaccine uptake - but very large case numbers in 1st and 3rd waves. Maybe that's the reason?
 
ENGLAND HOSPITAL SUMMARY




ADMISSIONS (MONDAY) (always 48 hour behind on admissions - the rest of data is all from today)

850 V 899 last week


SO ADMISSIONS STILL DOWN THOUGH BY LESS THAN OF LATE _- BUT MONDAYS ARE NEARLY ALWAYS THE HIGHEST ADMISSIONS DAY OF THE WEEK


London 121 v 103 (UP 18), Midlands 157 v 137 (UP 20), NE & Yorkshire 155 V 166 (DOWN 11) & North West 114 v 131 (DOWN 17)

South East UP on 115 from 98 week to week

NORTH WEST COMES OUT OF THESE NUMBERS THE BEST OF ALL



PATIENTS YESTERDAY V TODAY

7053 / 6961 Today.

Down by 92



Last Week the numbers were

7510 / 7291

Down by 219



A week to week FALL of 330 today. It was a week to week fall of 457 yesterday,, 460 the day before and 401 the day before .


SO THE FALLS HAVE FLATTENED OFF AND WE WILL NEED TO SEE WHERE THE REST OF THE WEEK GOES FROM HERE


Last Wednsday patients were UP week to week by 340 (6951 TO 7291)



REGIONALLY London DOWN 5 at 1047, Midlands DOWN 3 to 1287 , NE & Yorks DOWN 31 to 1342 & NW DOWN 12 to 1062.

Week to week London (down 3), Midlands (down 48), NE & Yorkshire (UP 7), East (UP 12), South East (UP 9) , South West (down 74) and North West (down 77) over the last 7 days.

So the best week to week fall was in the NW.




VENTILATORS YESTERDAY V TODAY

865 / 846 Today Down 19


Last week the numbers were 859 / 854 Down 5


So week to week today ventilators are DOWN by 8 ,

Last week they were UP week to week by 55.



REGIONALLY London has 181 (DOWN 4), Midlands 174 (DOWN 1), NE & Yorkshire 129 (DOWN 9)
& North West 106 (DOWN 2)

NORTH WEST FELL WEEK TO WEEK BY 15 - MOST OF ANY REGION

East rose today to exactly 100 the first smaller region into triple figures in the currwnt wave.
 
UK HOSPITAL NUMBERS


PATIENTS:-


ENGLAND 6961, N IRELAND 404, SCOTLAND 778, WALES 649 UK TOTAL 8792 (DOWN 63)

England and Wales fall today - N Ireland and Scotland rise



VENTILATORS:-


ENGLAND 846, N IRELAND 28, SCOTLAND 61, WALES 73 UK TOTAL 1008 ( DOWN 14)

Only England fell today


Both numbers fall today and well under 9000 now in UK hospitals and ventuilators close to falling back below 1000
 
BlueAnorak said:
I don't get why London Covid-19 cases are so low compared with everywhere else?
Low vaccine uptake - but very large case numbers in 1st and 3rd waves. Maybe that's the reason?
Click to expand...
Why do you think they are? I do not see that in the data. Though I have nt yet worked out all todays numbers so maybe they have changed today?

London have the second highest cases across the entire pandemic - 1,209.805 - only North West on 1,227,752 has more. And North West has pretty much had the most all through the last 18 months before and after the vaccines - as I would expect it would given it being the largest population centre of all the regions with multiple separate urban areas. NW is really the perfect breeding ground for Covid.

During much of this recent wave various areas have spiked. At one point the much smaller South West was by far the most. By its population it should be neck and neck with the North East as it was for much of the pandemic but even now after big falls it is twice North East and North East is up on where it was at one stage.

But SW was almost double the North West too and only just below it even now.

If you look at the England regions table I post every night you will see that South East is still well clear (though it has fallen from 7000 where it was miles above the North West to only a 1000 or so over there now).I imagine quite a few who work in London live in the South East.

London has had its turn spiking like that when cases boomed and testing is focused there perhaps. Couple of months ago they and North West were pretty closely matched and London had its tirns at the top.

Right now things have normalised where the majority of the regions are all clustered in the 2500/3500 or so grouping. Though NW is up a bit today it will likely fall into the 3Ks again as the week progresses. Midweek tends to be the high point. And really I thnk it is just now (South East and South West still exceptions as they are higher than normal) where the usual order is being restored. Probably created by demographics. housing, poverty etc - only ever disrupted when local waves occur and testing focuses on those areas.

The regions are probably grouped more closely together than they have ever been right now. Not more polarised from what I can see. Thogh midweek distorts that a bit as numbers tend to be higher than the rest of the week.
 
Last edited:
ENGLAND REGIONS BY CASE NUMBERS TODAY

CASES - Up/Down on day V Last Week


SOUTH EAST 5473 - UP 874 V 5997

NORTH WEST 4297 - UP 772 V 4574

SOUTH WEST 4217 - UP 830 V 4346

LONDON 3471 - UP 626 V 3714

EAST 3292 - UP 112 V 3843

WEST MIDLANDS 3233 - UP 119 V 3653

EAST MIDLANDS 2977 - UP 129 V 2619

YORKSHIRE 2815 - UP 383 V 3265

NORTH EAST 1586 - UP 20 V 1687
 
GREATER MANCHESTER BOROUGHS WEEKLY CASES


Oldham 585, Bury 654, Salford 715, Rochdale 793, Bolton 818, Trafford 834, Tameside 857, Stockport 942, Wigan 1100, Manchester 1449

These numbers looking a lot more like they should in normal times and Stockport's big week of falls takes it well below 1000 now.

Oldham best of the pack daily now by some margin.
 
GREATER MANCHESTER TODAY CASES V POP SCORES

BOROUGH - CURRENT WEEKLY POP SCORE - Up/Down on day (LOWEST SCORE BEST) V POP SCORE Last Week // CASES (c) TODAY v CASES LAST WEEK // POP SCORE RISE TODAY - UP TO - TOTAL POP SCORE OVER THE WHOLE PANDEMIC (LOWEST IS STILL BEST)


OLDHAM 246 (DOWN 17) V 278 // 84 c v 125 c // POP SCORE 36* - UP TO 18,036 - * Lowest Pop Score today. Highest in GM over all of the pandemic

MANCHESTER 261 (DOWN 3) V 305 // 298 c v 316 c // POP SCORE 54 - UP TO 17,684

SALFORD 272 (UP 7) V 313// 130 c v 111 c // POP SCORE 49 - UP TO 17,791

BOLTON 284 (DOWN 7) V 305 // 144 c v 163 c // POP SCORE 50 - UP TO 16,983

STOCKPORT 320 (DOWN 15) V 447 // 138 c v 182 c // POP SCORE 47 - UP TO 16,340 - Biggest weekly fall in Pop Score - Lowest in GM over all of the pandemic

WIGAN 332 (UP 3) V 393// 180 c v 167 c // POP SCORE 54 - UP TO 17,464

BURY 343 (DOWN 5) V 438 // 112 c v 122 c // POP SCORE 59 - UP TO 17,191

TRAFFORD 351 (UP 3) V 453 // 172 c v 164 c // POP SCORE 72* - UP TO 16,722 - * Highest Pop Score today

ROCHDALE 355 (DOWN 24) V 408 // 106 c v 161 c // POP SCORE 48 - UP TO 17,854

TAMESIDE 378 (UP 12) V 422 // 152 c v 126 c // POP SCORE 67 - UP TO 17,388









Tameside had the worst day today and saw its Weekly Pop Score move to the top.

Stockport had the best day again with another large week to week fall and is closing in on going sub 300 weekly Pop Score which looked very improbable even 10 days ago. Pop Score is down 127 from last Wednesday. Easily the most.

Trafford is doing less well now and lost in one go another 25 Pop Score points to Stockport giving it a now what seems an unassailable lead for the lowest Pop Score in GM across the entire pandemic - a whopping 382

But Trafford has slipped backwards a bit. Stockport may yet follow. Zoe is showing signs and it is tracking GM very well at the moment seeing trends a day or two before the cases reveal them.
.
Though Oldham is losing its unwanted lead for the highest Pop score across the pandemic by way of very low numbers as neighbour Rochdale goes in the opposite direction toward the top of the tree - but still 182 ahead so not an imminent event.



THIS IS A MUCH BETTER WEEKLY POP SCORE TABLE THAN WEWOULD HAVE EXPECTED TO SEE TWO WEEKS AGO BEFORE THE FALL IN CASES STARTED TO HAPPEN.


BUT WHICH WAY IT WILL GO FROM HERE IS ANOTHER MATTER!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Unread Posts

Don't have an account? Register now and see fewer ads!

SIGN UP
Back
Top