Well if he was playing the odds, it was a daft decision. It would have been a shot off balance with a defender coming over and the keeper coming out.
Yes he got lucky that Jimenez missed but it was a dreadful decision jumping in like that. Anyone of our centre halves would have been lambasted for a tackle like that.
If you want to be odd-sy about it the xG for a shot there is probably not far off the xG for a penalty.
And that doesn't take into account the chances he wins the ball.
Also Traore wasn't off balance, I don't know why you've thrown that in there.