Donald Trump

I was talking to my company’s DC strategist yesterday and he said the one governor on Trump is the stock market. He said Trump pays far and away more attention to the equity markets than any other President before him. Thus while none of the house, senate, likely cabinet, many courts nor bureaucracy will/can stop him, adverse reactions in the market will give him pause. It was an interesting perspective.
 
We were in that one. I think it's only Vietnam that we haven't actively supported apart from some of the smaller scale stuff in South America /Grenada etc.
The last time we did anything without us blessing was probably the Falklands and maybe northern Ireland, although tbf the us public did provide plenty of support to that by backing the IRA.
I wonder what might have happened had the Irish Army launched into Derry to protect the civil rights protesters in the Bogside.
Where would America have stood on that one.

And before anyone accuses me of being a fantasist. After the Bloody Sunday killings, Jack Lynch did come under pressure in The Dail (Irish Parliament). The logic was that, no, Ireland would not have the capability to beat the British army, but what such an advance would have done is possibly have a UN peace keeping force installed in the North rather than the British forces.

Like I said, that was the pressure put on Jack Lynch. Who knows? Where would America have stood?
 
I wonder what might have happened had the Irish Army launched into Derry to protect the civil rights protesters in the Bogside.
Where would America have stood on that one.

And before anyone accuses me of being a fantasist. After the Bloody Sunday killings, Jack Lynch did come under pressure in The Dail (Irish Parliament). The logic was that, no, Ireland would not have the capability to beat the British army, but what such an advance would have done is possibly have a UN peace keeping force installed in the North rather than the British forces.

Like I said, that was the pressure put on Jack Lynch. Who knows? Where would America have stood?
I think from 1970, if not 69 it should have been a UN peacekeeping force or similar. The British state / army had too much history in Ireland for them ever to be regarded as neutral by either side in the troubles.
I suppose at that time we were still too full of our own post-colonial self importance to countenance outside help.
 
I was talking to my company’s DC strategist yesterday and he said the one governor on Trump is the stock market. He said Trump pays far and away more attention to the equity markets than any other President before him. Thus while none of the house, senate, likely cabinet, many courts nor bureaucracy will/can stop him, adverse reactions in the market will give him pause. It was an interesting perspective.

I'm sure there's probably 10 political science PhDs worth in studying what actually drives Trumps utility function. For simple folk like me I've just assumed at this stage it's no more complicated than staying out of jail and some really twisted internal psychology, everything beyond that is a function of other actors but it's probably more complicated than that.
 
Trump made me laugh when at one of his rallies when the Mike wasn't working he said to his supporters about those responsible "Shall I go backstage & knock he'll out of them" to wild applause from his Maga supporters. I would have liked to have seen him try. This 78 yo old man trying to knock he'll out of presumably young fit workmen. The only way this draft dodging coward would have succeeded would be if his security guards held them by the arms so he could take free shots at them which I would not have put it past him.
 
I think from 1970, if not 69 it should have been a UN peacekeeping force or similar. The British state / army had too much history in Ireland for them ever to be regarded as neutral by either side in the troubles.
I suppose at that time we were still too full of our own post-colonial self importance to countenance outside help.
Interesting MSC, but we’re probably in the wrong thread to pursue the idea.
 

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