Donald Trump

I read all of it out of a morbid curiosity and you've fairly accurately summarised it, apart from the random section explaining how The Simpsons is carefully designed propaganda intended to brainwash the American masses.

I also read it all. I agree with you that this is the ramblings of somebody suffering from paranoid delusion. And it is a deep shame because aside from these notions of conspiracy he comes across as bright and actually quite an engaging writer.

It is interesting in that it's the first example of "enlightened centrism" I've seen that takes things to this extreme. Usually the "they're all as bad as each other" tactic is used to sound moderate. Here he uses it as proof that we live in a global kleptocracy, the parties are on the same side, and we're about to be plunged into fascism. An esoteric take, I'll give him that.

The crypto/Bitcoin stuff is a bit stupid though and belies a lack of understanding of how it works. I'm generalising to Bitcoin in what I say here because it makes up more than half of the entire crypto market, with Ethereum making up another 20% or so. The way it was designed and set up means that the information on who owns which coins is public domain and the algorithm and everything to do with it is completely open source. It is a decentralised ledger with records that the entire network of computers have to agree on, so you know who is holding what at all times (when I say "who" you have to know the corresponding wallet address to identify individuals). This means you can just add up the Bitcoin that's out there to calculate its market cap. You'll find it's at about USD 1.3Tr. While that sounds like a lot of money to a layman, it's chump's change really when you consider the GDP of the US is 25x that amount. I work with individual companies who manage assets many multiples of that amount. If they are creating a doomsday fund in cryptocurrency then their fund isn't very big in the grand scheme of things. Maybe a few Bezos worth (to coin a new standard measure).

Needless to say, when you start seeing messages in practically all media that you propose as evidence for the existence of a global conspiracy, you have to commit to the fact that you're saying all of those media creators are somehow in cahoots. Orwell doesn't seem to me like a bloke who would neglect to tell us if he thought 1984 was being played out in real life. Neither do the Simpson's writers, if we're being honest.

My life's mantra comes into play again here - I'll call it "Flux's Razor" - When faced with a variety of possible explanations for the situations we encounter in life, the most prosaic and boring explanation is basically always correct. Life is never as interesting as we would like it to be.
 
A man apparently set himself on fire in a park just outside the courthouse where the Trump trial proceedings are being held.

No confirmation of who they were, the motives, or their condition as it just happened. It is unclear if it was related to the trial.

What an idiot.

Having seen the footage and a rather grim photo of the aftermath, I wouldn’t recommend self-immolation.
 
It's obviously not funny as this guy had clear mental problems but fuck me there's some very very crazy people in America.

Whenever we think our politics is going off the rails, a quick glance across the pond and we look like the sanest most stable people on the planet.
 
I also read it all. I agree with you that this is the ramblings of somebody suffering from paranoid delusion. And it is a deep shame because aside from these notions of conspiracy he comes across as bright and actually quite an engaging writer.

It is interesting in that it's the first example of "enlightened centrism" I've seen that takes things to this extreme. Usually the "they're all as bad as each other" tactic is used to sound moderate. Here he uses it as proof that we live in a global kleptocracy, the parties are on the same side, and we're about to be plunged into fascism. An esoteric take, I'll give him that.

The crypto/Bitcoin stuff is a bit stupid though and belies a lack of understanding of how it works. I'm generalising to Bitcoin in what I say here because it makes up more than half of the entire crypto market, with Ethereum making up another 20% or so. The way it was designed and set up means that the information on who owns which coins is public domain and the algorithm and everything to do with it is completely open source. It is a decentralised ledger with records that the entire network of computers have to agree on, so you know who is holding what at all times (when I say "who" you have to know the corresponding wallet address to identify individuals). This means you can just add up the Bitcoin that's out there to calculate its market cap. You'll find it's at about USD 1.3Tr. While that sounds like a lot of money to a layman, it's chump's change really when you consider the GDP of the US is 25x that amount. I work with individual companies who manage assets many multiples of that amount. If they are creating a doomsday fund in cryptocurrency then their fund isn't very big in the grand scheme of things. Maybe a few Bezos worth (to coin a new standard measure).

Needless to say, when you start seeing messages in practically all media that you propose as evidence for the existence of a global conspiracy, you have to commit to the fact that you're saying all of those media creators are somehow in cahoots. Orwell doesn't seem to me like a bloke who would neglect to tell us if he thought 1984 was being played out in real life. Neither do the Simpson's writers, if we're being honest.

My life's mantra comes into play again here - I'll call it "Flux's Razor" - When faced with a variety of possible explanations for the situations we encounter in life, the most prosaic and boring explanation is basically always correct. Life is never as interesting as we would like it to be.
It is indeed a novel slant on the plague of “enlightened centrism”.

There are quite a few misunderstandings and mischaracterisations in the ‘manifesto’, even beyond the incoherent analysis of cryptocurrency.

As I said in my earlier response after reading it, I think it is very likely he was suffering an acute manic episode (likely one of many over his life) and this was unfortunately a destructive outcome.
 

NY AG asks Trump civil fraud judge to declare $175M bond ‘without effect’

New York attorney general’s office has asked a judge to void the $175 million bond former President Trump secured to put off paying the larger monetary damage award in his civil fraud case.

State lawyers said in court filings Friday that the former president and his co-defendants — the Trump Organization and its top executives, including his two eldest sons — failed to prove the surety Trump used to obtain the bond actually has the money to back it.

They also say the defendants did not show that “sufficiently secure and ascertainable” collateral backs the bond.



—————

who-would-have-thought-neil-degrasse-tyson.gif
 

NY AG asks Trump civil fraud judge to declare $175M bond ‘without effect’

New York attorney general’s office has asked a judge to void the $175 million bond former President Trump secured to put off paying the larger monetary damage award in his civil fraud case.

State lawyers said in court filings Friday that the former president and his co-defendants — the Trump Organization and its top executives, including his two eldest sons — failed to prove the surety Trump used to obtain the bond actually has the money to back it.

They also say the defendants did not show that “sufficiently secure and ascertainable” collateral backs the bond.



—————

who-would-have-thought-neil-degrasse-tyson.gif

When Engoron voids the bond on Monday (as it feels like this is almost a certainty), he will get another week to find a replacement. In that respect this fiasco has done its job of delaying proceedings. No doubt he’ll find the next business that will go in to bat for him and the whole thing will play out again.

From the state’s perspective I get the difficulties here. Seizing assets is expensive, a bond is far cleaner. There is also the risk that if the appeal is successful in reducing the value of the judgment then resorting to taking property could cause a certain amount of irreparable harm that James will want to avoid. It’s not a great look if the government seize half a billion worth of properties and then the judgment is reduced and they have to give some or all of them back. However unlikely I think that might be, as state prosecutors they have to consider that anything they do can be undone on a successful appeal.

The whole thing is annoying. The state knows Trump is cash poor and so if they don’t get a bond then they’re taking property which is messy. This allows Trump to fuck them around seemingly without consequence.

At some point the rubber is going to have to meet the road, and they’re going to have to accept that Trump is not going to offer them a clean resolution. At which point they need to go into Westchester and start putting cordons around the 18th green.
 

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