Gareth Barry Conlon
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 5 Sep 2014
- Messages
- 14,027
Lots of stats out there but tend to include all elections not just POTUS. The stat ive seen most is that 90% of the time the winner had the highest spend. But I assume that includes safe seats where the incumbent finds it easier to raise money as well as win votes.
There is a chicken and egg element to political fund raising. If you have an elected office and power then you will attract donor money. And donor money helps you win the election to office. Its why so many top US politicians are so old. The more you raise the more you win, the more you win the more you raise. The longer you go raising money and winning races the more that both become easy.
But what Trump is doing is untested. He has zero ground game. He has no interest in traditional campaigning and no interest in helping rank and file republicans with their campaigns. The dems are raising shit loads of money but will spend it on a broad base, volunteers and paid campaign staff all out there knocking doors and all co-ordinated and funded from the top. For the GOP its just the Trump show, minimal other activity.
