Ed V Dave - 9pm on C4 & Sky News

blue cigar said:
The bookies now have a lab minority as favourite,they rarely get it wrong.
The next pm after cameron...ed is even money favourite.
Signs not good at all for the toffs.
Great news for the work shy though.

So glad I emmigrated.
 
SWP's back said:
blue cigar said:
The bookies now have a lab minority as favourite,they rarely get it wrong.
The next pm after cameron...ed is even money favourite.
Signs not good at all for the toffs.
Great news for the work shy though.

So glad I emmigrated.

Most bookies have the Tories as favs for the most seats in the up coming election. The odds on what the next government will look like is very varied, as the most likely result overwhelmingly is a hung parliament according to the odds.

The only reason Ed is evans fav is that he has an assured run at the thing this election, the key element in those odds is after Cameron, its not evens to be the next PM, another way to phrase it would be odds on next PM without Cameron in the betting. Its like when one team gets to the cup final and the other 2 teams have a replay, the team already in the final are always much shorter odds than the other 2 teams, even though they might not be after the other tie is replayed.
 
Paul Lake's Left Knee said:
SWP's back said:
blue cigar said:
The bookies now have a lab minority as favourite,they rarely get it wrong.
The next pm after cameron...ed is even money favourite.
Signs not good at all for the toffs.
Great news for the work shy though.

So glad I emmigrated.

Most bookies have the Tories as favs for the most seats in the up coming election. The odds on what the next government will look like is very varied, as the most likely result overwhelmingly is a hung parliament according to the odds.

The only reason Ed is evans fav is that he has an assured run at the thing this election, the key element in those odds is after Cameron, its not evens to be the next PM, another way to phrase it would be odds on next PM without Cameron in the betting. Its like when one team gets to the cup final and the other 2 teams have a replay, the team already in the final are always much shorter odds than the other 2 teams, even though they might not be after the other tie is replayed.
ah cheers.

So it's "next PM after Cameron"
 
Len Rum said:
Big bounce in the polls for Ed.
You Gov ( the poll that normally gets it right) showing 4% lead for Labour after the live TV interviews.
Also Ed beat Dave in this Poll as regards their performance in the TV interview.
Squeaky bum time RWNJs.

<a class="postlink" href="https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2594" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpubl ... temId=2594</a>

After the first debate in 2010 the Lib Dems had a 4% lead on Labour, tied with the tories
 
SWP's back said:
Paul Lake's Left Knee said:
SWP's back said:
Great news for the work shy though.

So glad I emmigrated.

Most bookies have the Tories as favs for the most seats in the up coming election. The odds on what the next government will look like is very varied, as the most likely result overwhelmingly is a hung parliament according to the odds.

The only reason Ed is evans fav is that he has an assured run at the thing this election, the key element in those odds is after Cameron, its not evens to be the next PM, another way to phrase it would be odds on next PM without Cameron in the betting. Its like when one team gets to the cup final and the other 2 teams have a replay, the team already in the final are always much shorter odds than the other 2 teams, even though they might not be after the other tie is replayed.
ah cheers.

So it's "next PM after Cameron"

Yes, Ed is evans to be next PM after Dave, then its Boris is next in the betting after Ed.

If you were to take odds on the next PM, Cameron is odds on fav, then red Ed around 5/4 with a big drop in odds to Boris 14/1 and then Andy Burnham, Caroline Speilman, Ed Balls, Yvette Cooper around 40/1 before decending into those over 50/1. Those not betting on Ed or Dave would be hoping no government could be formed, and new leaders are selected before the next election I would guess.

No overall majority is very short odds on according to the bookies, Tory majority around 5/1, Labour around 14/1. It varies from bookie to bookie. I posted a link to odds checker which compares bookmakers odds.
 
blue cigar said:
Paul Lake's Left Knee said:
blue cigar said:
The bookies now have a lab minority as favourite,they rarely get it wrong.
The next pm after cameron...ed is even money favourite.
Signs not good at all for the toffs.

Errrrr nope

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-seats
Paddy power do...just sayin. They are a very good guide.
Paddy Power have the Tories odds on to get the most votes

8/15 as opposed to 13/8
 
SWP's back said:
Paul Lake's Left Knee said:
SWP's back said:
Great news for the work shy though.

So glad I emmigrated.

Most bookies have the Tories as favs for the most seats in the up coming election. The odds on what the next government will look like is very varied, as the most likely result overwhelmingly is a hung parliament according to the odds.

The only reason Ed is evans fav is that he has an assured run at the thing this election, the key element in those odds is after Cameron, its not evens to be the next PM, another way to phrase it would be odds on next PM without Cameron in the betting. Its like when one team gets to the cup final and the other 2 teams have a replay, the team already in the final are always much shorter odds than the other 2 teams, even though they might not be after the other tie is replayed.
ah cheers.

So it's "next PM after Cameron"
It looks likely there will be no overall majority which then draws us to next pm. Assuming cameron cannot form another coalition,he steps down. That may well leave Miliband as pm supported by snp with their 50 seats,hence the betting quote. I would prefer a tory majority before a lab/snp govt but that seems unlikely.
Setting aside what you want to happen,what do you think will happen?
 
blue cigar said:
SWP's back said:
Paul Lake's Left Knee said:
Most bookies have the Tories as favs for the most seats in the up coming election. The odds on what the next government will look like is very varied, as the most likely result overwhelmingly is a hung parliament according to the odds.

The only reason Ed is evans fav is that he has an assured run at the thing this election, the key element in those odds is after Cameron, its not evens to be the next PM, another way to phrase it would be odds on next PM without Cameron in the betting. Its like when one team gets to the cup final and the other 2 teams have a replay, the team already in the final are always much shorter odds than the other 2 teams, even though they might not be after the other tie is replayed.
ah cheers.

So it's "next PM after Cameron"
It looks likely there will be no overall majority which then draws us to next pm. Assuming cameron cannot form another coalition,he steps down. That may well leave Miliband as pm supported by snp with their 50 seats,hence the betting quote. I would prefer a tory majority before a lab/snp govt but that seems unlikely.
Setting aside what you want to happen,what do you think will happen?

I think it'll be a continuation of the current coalition. I think the days of majorities are gone for the time being and think that's a good thing.
 
SWP's back said:
blue cigar said:
SWP's back said:
ah cheers.

So it's "next PM after Cameron"
It looks likely there will be no overall majority which then draws us to next pm. Assuming cameron cannot form another coalition,he steps down. That may well leave Miliband as pm supported by snp with their 50 seats,hence the betting quote. I would prefer a tory majority before a lab/snp govt but that seems unlikely.
Setting aside what you want to happen,what do you think will happen?

I think it'll be a continuation of the current coalition. I think the days of majorities are gone for the time being and think that's a good thing.
I dont see libdems getting enough seats to support anyone,it all points to snp and they will only work with labour,they will have around 45-50 seats...truly frightening.
 

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