Mike D said:
Paul Lake's Left Knee said:
As things stand it points to the fact its probably going to be a hung parliament, with the Tories winning a minority, the incumbent usually gets a bump and also traditionally the Tories usually fair better in the booth than they do in polls as well.
I dont think its "Daily Mail" thinking to say the SNP could be king makers, they are polling well and the 30-40 MPs they could well have, will make a difference. Salmond has been quite open they would vote down a Tory minority by rejecting the Queen's speech.
We could be doing it all again in 6 months.
Don't count your chickens but if as was quoted by the Youngov guy on Sunday politics this slender 4 point lead delivers again at the weekend then a trend may start to be forming. The tories are beginning to falter especially with this £12billion hole in their budget from welfare spending, and sending out the incompetent IDS on the Andrew Marr show hasn't helped. Its a tough week for Labour too having to speak to business leaders about the EU membership. Then there's the final debate for Cameron because he bottled the head to head. I'm not saying we'll know either way by the weekend who is going to win but its going to be an entertaining week for politics.
Count my chickens? Firstly I am going from a poll of polls on the BBC website from the link i provided, not one individual poll, secondly i said as it stands, of course things can change, a week is a long time in politics and all that, and thirdly, I am not a Tory, i will be voting Green, a real socialist party, not the sorry excuse that is Labour who are just Tories with red ties on.
I was trying to give some objective analysis of how things stand going from the poll of polls, something a lot of people on here are have trouble doing,