FA Cup 4th round draw - Palace (a)

[TBooksbluearmy]

I am not saying that the draw was fixed, however did anyone notice the big smile on Michael Owen's face when we where drawn away to Crystal Palace. Also the big smile when yet again the rags got another easier draw at home to another struggle championship club. If this draw was not fixed I would love the FA to prove otherwise. There are many ways to fix a draw the way it is done now:- 1 way is to make certain balls slightly heavier than another, 2:- make certain balls colder than another, 3:- make the number on the balls slight raised then others.

 

[aguero93:20]

No it's about 62 to 1.

Yeah but if you stuck it in a double with Leicester winning the league you'd have gotten 315,062/1

 

[Gray]

City state that we have now drawn a Premier League or Championship team for the last EIGHTEEN draws. F***, the odds must be in the millions.

No it's about 62 to 1.

Not a mathematician but don't see how it can be 62 to 1.

If you take the first of those 18 it would be roughly a 37.5% chance of getting a team lower than the championship then you would have to calculate the other 17 times and multiply them all together. It would be one hell of an exercise as you would have to check every one of those 18 draws to see which teams were in them.

Anybody willing to give it a bash?

 

[Machiavelli]

I wonder why the balls for the FA cup draw have the numbers printed on the balls whilst the balls for the CL have bits of paper inside them with team names on?
Wouldn't a Lotto style machine be better?

 

[Uncle Wally One Ball]

I am not saying that the draw was fixed, however did anyone notice the big smile on Michael Owen's face when we where drawn away to Crystal Palace. Also the big smile when yet again the rags got another easier draw at home to another struggle championship club. If this draw was not fixed I would love the FA to prove otherwise. There are many ways to fix a draw the way it is done now:- 1 way is to make certain balls slightly heavier than another, 2:- make certain balls colder than another, 3:- make the number on the balls slight raised then others.

Bit of a contradictory post there. Which one do you think it is?

 

[Chippy_boy]

Not a mathematician but don't see how it can be 62 to 1.

If you take the first of those 18 it would be roughly a 37.5% chance of getting a team lower than the championship then you would have to calculate the other 17 times and multiply them all together. It would be one hell of an exercise as you would have to check every one of those 18 draws to see which teams were in them.

Anybody willing to give it a bash?

Funnily enough, I was convinced he was wrong, so I had a bash at working it out for myself and i made it 68/1. So I think he's right and it's around that ballpark.

Logic being that I guessed that circa 40 of the 64 in round 3 are PL or championship sides, roughly 25 of the 32, roughly 14 of the last 16. etc etc.

 

[Hungarian blue]

I'm not saying the draw is fixed or not, but in this day and age, why can't the ball numbers be drawn by computer
and put on a big screen. The 2 pundits could still be there and tell us what numbers have come out. Because
that's all they basically do, already.

*Edit. Meant to add. Hope our games not 3pm on Saturday it's nigh on impossible to find a
stream.

Yeah, that would surely stop the discussion on here whether the draw is fixed. I mean, why would a computer algorithm ever act pseudo-randomly or why would anyone think it's manipulated in any other way out of those who otherwise think that currently it's fixed.

 

[chaddblue]

I'm not saying the draw is fixed or not, but in this day and age, why can't the ball numbers be drawn by computer
and put on a big screen. The 2 pundits could still be there and tell us what numbers have come out. Because
that's all they basically do, already.

Even easier to fix if done by computer, how do you think fruit machines always make an overall profit

The fairest way would be like the lottery machines where the balls are spat out by a machine

 

[simmo]

I wonder why the balls for the FA cup draw have the numbers printed on the balls whilst the balls for the CL have bits of paper inside them with team names on?
Wouldn't a Lotto style machine be better?

Champions league has the krypton factor of restrictions on who you can and can't play by a variety of baskets. They seem to like to make a day of the draw.

fa cup always looks amateur to me as though someone nipped to pound land and painted the balls. Surprised they let us know whose what number and not have the draw pre written.

 

[hertsblue]

I am sure our recent run of poor draws and the luck the other teams are having is just coincidence, same as why Real, Barcelona and Munich have managed to avoid each other in the CL quarter final draw since 2008 :)-