Tragic meat van guy said:worsleyweb said:I won last year purely because of this thread - somoene put something up witha load is stats saying something along the lines of - pick a horse over 8 and under 13. Pick one that has won in recent months, etc etc. and if you followed this rule you would have won 12 of the last 13 nationals! I can't find the bloody post!!
From Nag Nag Nag...
And the Grand National. Here’s a simple system that would have given
you the winner in 12 of the last 17 years and will give you a
shortlist of 6 runners for this years race……
Knock out any runner older than 11 or younger than 9 (88% of last 17
winners were aged 9-11yo)
Knock out any runner that has run in the last 16 days or had a break
of more than 56 days (100%)
Knock out any runner rated less than 136 (100%)
Knock out any runner carrying more than 11-06 (100%)
Knock out any runner that ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 race last time out (100%)
Knock out any runner with fewer than 3 starts this Season (100%)
Knock out any runner that has won more than 2 chase races this Season (100%)
Knock out any GB Bred runners (94%)
Knock out any runner that finished outside the top 8 last time out (88%)
can someone with all the pertinent info do this for the rest of us less informed folk please?