Grand National 2015

Tragic meat van guy said:
worsleyweb said:
I won last year purely because of this thread - somoene put something up witha load is stats saying something along the lines of - pick a horse over 8 and under 13. Pick one that has won in recent months, etc etc. and if you followed this rule you would have won 12 of the last 13 nationals! I can't find the bloody post!!

From Nag Nag Nag...
And the Grand National. Here’s a simple system that would have given
you the winner in 12 of the last 17 years and will give you a
shortlist of 6 runners for this years race……

Knock out any runner older than 11 or younger than 9 (88% of last 17
winners were aged 9-11yo)
Knock out any runner that has run in the last 16 days or had a break
of more than 56 days (100%)
Knock out any runner rated less than 136 (100%)
Knock out any runner carrying more than 11-06 (100%)
Knock out any runner that ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 race last time out (100%)
Knock out any runner with fewer than 3 starts this Season (100%)
Knock out any runner that has won more than 2 chase races this Season (100%)
Knock out any GB Bred runners (94%)
Knock out any runner that finished outside the top 8 last time out (88%)

can someone with all the pertinent info do this for the rest of us less informed folk please?
 
1961_vintage said:
Tragic meat van guy said:
Here’s a simple system that would have given you the winner in 12 of the last 17 years and will give you a shortlist of 6 runners for this years race……

Did they list the six?

he did, but they would be the runners for last years, Just copied and pasted it and kept it in an email
 
worsleyweb said:
I won last year purely because of this thread - somoene put something up witha load is stats saying something along the lines of - pick a horse over 8 and under 13. Pick one that has won in recent months, etc etc. and if you followed this rule you would have won 12 of the last 13 nationals! I can't find the bloody post!!

I put that post up last year and from the shortlist it gave the winner.

I'll do the same again later tonight if you wish.
 
Blue Punter said:
worsleyweb said:
I won last year purely because of this thread - somoene put something up witha load is stats saying something along the lines of - pick a horse over 8 and under 13. Pick one that has won in recent months, etc etc. and if you followed this rule you would have won 12 of the last 13 nationals! I can't find the bloody post!!

I put that post up last year and from the shortlist it gave the winner.

I'll do the same again later tonight if you wish.

please mate
 
Tragic meat van guy said:
worsleyweb said:
I won last year purely because of this thread - somoene put something up witha load is stats saying something along the lines of - pick a horse over 8 and under 13. Pick one that has won in recent months, etc etc. and if you followed this rule you would have won 12 of the last 13 nationals! I can't find the bloody post!!

From Nag Nag Nag...
And the Grand National. Here’s a simple system that would have given
you the winner in 12 of the last 17 years and will give you a
shortlist of 6 runners for this years race……

Knock out any runner older than 11 or younger than 9 (88% of last 17
winners were aged 9-11yo)
Knock out any runner that has run in the last 16 days or had a break
of more than 56 days (100%)
Knock out any runner rated less than 136 (100%)
Knock out any runner carrying more than 11-06 (100%)
Knock out any runner that ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 race last time out (100%)
Knock out any runner with fewer than 3 starts this Season (100%)
Knock out any runner that has won more than 2 chase races this Season (100%)
Knock out any GB Bred runners (94%)
Knock out any runner that finished outside the top 8 last time out (88%)

Using http://www.grand-national-guide.co.uk to apply this filter as close as possible gives three selections. Two of which have been long fancies of mine so i'm a little more confident, if you can be confident in a grand national.

Balthazar King
Soll
Gas Line Boy

There's always an outsider that gets in the mix so 100-1 on the latter in that list is worth a cheeky bet.
 

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