From another forum but used every year. Picked last years 25/1 winner and Mon Mome 100/1 a few years ago (which I didn't back because no French bred horse had ever won) Was written last week before Soll got in and prices were higher
For the purpose of this race, i am eliminating horses that do not meet the next trend, until only horses that match every trend are left
AGE
17 of the last 20 winners were aged 9, 10 or 11
Positives = Lord Windermere, Rocky Creek, First Lieutenant, Balthazar King, Double Ross, Rebel Rebellion, Mon Parrain, Carlito Brigante, Night In Milan, Rubi Light, Godsmejudge, Al Co, Monbeg Dude, The Rainbow Hunter, Teaforthree, Saint Are, Across The Bay, Super Duty, Wyck Hill, Gas Line Boy, Chance Du Roy, Alvarado, Portrait King, Court By Surprise, Ely Brown, Renard, Royale Knight, Duke Of Lucca, Soll, Baileys Concerto, Raz De Maree, Guess Again, Maggio, Gallant Oscar, Vintage Star, Mountainous, Alpha Victor, Mart Lane, Harry The Viking, Ballyoliver, Lackamon, Rose Of The Moon & American Spin
WEIGHT
18 of the last 20 winners carried 11-01 or less to victory
Positives = Rebel Rebellion, Mon Parrain, Carlito Brigante, Night In Milan, Rubi Light, Godsmejudge, Al Co, Monbeg Dude, The Rainbow Hunter, Teaforthree, Saint Are, Across The Bay, Super Duty, Wyck Hill, Gas Line Boy, Chance Du Roy, Alvarado, Portrait King, Court By Surprise, Ely Brown, Renard, Royale Knight, Duke Of Lucca, Soll, Baileys Concerto, Raz De Maree, Maggio, Guess Again, Gallant Oscar, Vintage Star, Mountainous, Alpha Victor, Mart Lane, Harry The Viking, Ballyoliver, Lackamon, Rose Of The Moon & American Spin
OFFICIAL RATING
15 of the last 20 winners were officially rated 139 or higher
Positives = Rebel Rebellion, Mon Parrain, Carlito Brigante, Night In Milan, Rubi Light, Godsmejudge, Al Co, Monbeg Dude, The Rainbow Hunter, Teaforthree, Saint Are, Across The Bay, Super Duty, Wyck Hill, Gas Line Boy, Chance Du Roy, Alvarado, Portrait King, Court By Surprise, Ely Brown, Renard, Royale Knight, Duke Of Lucca, Soll & Baileys Concerto
LAST TIME OUT
18 of the last 20 winners finished in the first 5 on their last completed start
Positives = Rebel Rebellion, Mon Parrain, Carlito Brigante, Night In Milan, Rubi Light, Al Co, The Rainbow Hunter, Teaforthree, Saint Are, Wyck Hill, Gas Line Boy, Chance Du Roy, Alvarado, Portrait King, Court By Surprise, Ely Brown, Renard, Royale Knight, Soll & Baileys Concerto
LAST RUN
18 of the last 20 winners had their last run between 20 & 42 days ago
Positives = Rebel Rebellion, Mon Parrain, Carlito Brigante, Night In Milan, Rubi Light, Al Co, Portrait King, Royale Knight, Soll & Baileys Concerto
YEAR RUNS
16 of the last 20 winners had run 2 or 3 times that year
Positives = Mon Parrain, Night In Milan, Rubi Light, Al Co, Soll & Baileys Concerto
HANDICAP CHASE WINS
17 of the last 20 winners had previously won between 1 & 3 handicap chases
Positives = Mon Parrain, Night In Milan, Rubi Light, Al Co & Soll
DISTANCE
18 of the last 20 winners had won over further than 3 miles
Positives = Mon Parrain, Night In Milan, Al Co & Soll
SELECTIONS
After the latest update, 4 horses stand out as possible winners based on the last 20 runnings of the race
Mon Parrain can be backed at 66/1
Night In Milan can be backed at 50/1
Al Co can be backed at 33/1
Soll can be backed at 25/1
Mon Parrain, Night In Milan & Al Co are guaranteed to run, should their connections decide to run them in the race, Soll currently stands at number 49, so would need 9 horses to drop out to get a run
