The idea that we'd rejoin with all the benefits and everything returns to as before is just fantasy so selling the facts and reality therefore makes rejoin actually far more difficult. Remain did not even sell the benefits of remaining when it came to remaining as it was all just about how much of a disaster leave would be. You cannot run a rejoin campaign based purely on how bad things are. This time the benefits of rejoining have to be sold and the population is highly skeptical of those so I'd say 50/50 is far more likely.
There's also a strong chance that we'd need to accept the Euro given for the EU any rejoin effort would be an opportunity to integrate the UK once and for all. A lot moan about the price of the £ vs $ but try looking at the Euro vs the $ today.... We'd lose total control of monetary policy if we adopted the Euro, something that arguably some on here would bizarrely say is a benefit....
Personally I think arguing to join EFTA is far more appropriate given the rift in the population. It means retaining a greater level of autonomy vs rejoining, it means we keep our currency and we'd also get access to freedom of movement and the single market.
An even bigger benefit to EFTA is we'd be in the same room as Norway who are one of our largest energy suppliers. Collaborating with Norway in the North Sea would pose a massive opportunity. It keeps us away from shale gas and we could easily establish a smaller rival to big energy producers elsewhere. Does no-one ever wonder why Norwegians are all rich?
In a strange and twisted world, as we become poorer and the public wake up to the fact we have shot ourselves in the foot, rejoining the EU will probably be seen as a benefit, and not a curse.
Leaving the EU was primarily a vote from the elderly that saw our membership as a buisness arrangement that cost us, in their eyes, too much money. They didn't grasp the idea it was a successful community, working together in harmony to protect us all from the ravages of extreme political nutjobs we now find ourselves being governed by.
'Ooh' the leavers wailed. 'it's costing us £7B a year', and the big red bus went around saying '£350 a week to the NHS' with the rest of their campaigners coming out with their claptrap like 'we'll take back control', 'a deal with the EU will be the easiest in history', 'they need us more than we need them', 'only Britain and Germany are net contributors to the EU budget, and 'they'll miss our money......'.
All of it was absolute bullshit, and saying we would lose control of our monetary policy if we had the Euro as our currency is just as much a fantasy as Jacob Rees-Mogg saying prices would come down after we had left the EU.
The EU exists to help countries, not punish them, and why is it, out of all the countries that belong to the wealthiest, most prosperous economic area in the world, and appreciate the benefits its membership brings, did we see it differently?
It's because the tories like being tories, they detest the idea of socialism, and they, along with the MSM, well and truly aided and abetted by Boris Johnson writing his garbage in The Telegrph about Prawn Cocktail crisps or bent bananas being banned, always held sway without any mature discussion regarding the positives our membership brought.
Yes, I voted to remain, because for the life of me I couldn't think of a single aspect of how my life had been adversely affected by our membership. Others saw it differently, and voted to leave. They quoted the £7B year membership fee but in a country spending £860B a year it was less than the contingency fund for emergency expeniture our sovereign and independent government thought was appropriate at the time.
