I assumed he'd probably be close to Aguero when he settled, but there's a case that he'll have better stats at City than he has had in his career so far.The mad thing is that even if (when) he reverts to his typical ratio of 1 goal per game on average, and even if he misses let’s say 6 PL games either due to niggles or due to being rested ahead of big CL knockout games next year, he would still score another 24 goals in 24 league games and smash the record with 38 goals. And that’s accounting for missing 6 games (he might not) and for him to immediately ‘dip’ to scoring at his average rate (he might not).
He's already taking extra shots per game, and his xG is significantly higher. He's scoring a LOT more six yard box goals and headers. All that suggests that at City the reason for the jump is that he's getting more chances, and those chances are higher quality.
I don't expect him to keep up the current rate, but the stats suggest that the higher strike rate might be down to increased chances, rather than a purple patch, and that something better than a goal a game might be sustainable.