How many points to win the league?

the same amount of points as the maximum number our opponents can get - this formula should work (due to our goal difference)

our points (62)

united points(47) remaining games 16 x 3 = (48), max 95 - 62 = 33 points needed to win the league if the shite win all their games
chelsea point(45) remaining games 17 X 3= (51), max 96 - 62 = 34 points needed to win the league if chelsea win all their games
liverpool points(44) remaining games 16 x 3 = (48), max 92 - 62 = 30 points
tottenham points(40) + (51) - 62 = 29 points
arsenal (38 + 51) - 62 = 27 points


All of these teams have to play each other and us, so only one of them can achieve maximum points.

Good evaluation, and factually correct.
The only thing i would say is that we have been in record breaking form and even at this rate have been recovering an average of 2.81 points per game not the maximum of 3.
 
Good evaluation, and factually correct.
The only thing i would say is that we have been in record breaking form and even at this rate have been recovering an average of 2.81 points per game not the maximum of 3.

Understood,

fact remains we don't win the league until it is mathematically impossible for any team to catch us. If you apply this formula and our current points are greater than their max, then we've got the league won.
 
12 more wins gives us the league. If we beat Chelsea and the rags, however, we only need (if my maths is right) another 8 w8ns against other teams
 
85 - 90 points should be enough, seeing as the others are taking points off each other/ drawing games. If Arsenal/ Chelsea tonight is a draw or a Gunners win then that should be enough.

16 games left. 8 wins and a couple of draws should do it.
 
People are split on priorities and I understand both sides. Go all out and win the lot or prioritise cups as follows: CL and PL first, FA and CC second.
I favour the latter. Simply because we've seen not rotating backfire in the past. It doesn't give the kids a chance and risks big injuries that hurt you. Remember Negredo? 7-0 up and return leg injury. Never recovered from that. So the Caraboa can definitely be saved for Bravo, Mangala, Foden if he's back in time. The FA cup can be for Yaya, Danilo, Gundogan and Bernardo too. Go strong in PL and CL then reassess after Basle first leg.
 
80 points won't do it - one of Chelsea. Liverpool or even the Rags are capable of 15 or 16 wins from the remaining games. We have to assume Chelsea are capable of getting 96 points. We therefore need 34 more points to be certain. If Chelsea draw tonight we need 32. That is 10 wins and 2 draws and 4 defeats.

Still not the time to get complacent. Getting a draw at Anfield would be huge. We have by no means won this league yet.

Out of 16 games? Can’t see it but probably right at the minimum requirement for us to win the league
 
Considering we've played 32 games, and won 29 of them, with only 1 defeat in a dead rubber (for us) CL game, does anyone seriously see us losing 6 league games from now ?

We can probably afford to do that too, even 8 wins and 2 draws gets us to 88 points, but I just don't see us losing 6 from here, so anything better than 8 wins 2 draws especially if we ensure we don't lose against those just below us.

Just enjoy the position we are in, nobody has EVER been in this position before, and if you are worrying, then just remember that we have Pep in charge, and he still thinks we can improve yet !
 

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