How many points to win the league?

[Pablo ZZZ Peroni]

And you have to understand that all these sides have to face each other as well and of course at least one side must drop points namely 3 or both sides drop 2.

Who would put decent money on Manure going 12-2-2 from now on and again if they do they finish on 85 points yes 85 points.

They have to play Chelsea , Spurs , Liverpool , Arsenal and the title winners elect.

They have dropped points in 8 of their 22 games to date and given their fixtures to drop points in 4 of their last 16 is far more likely than not.

Whilst agreeing there is a high probability 85 points will be enough, sometimes crazy runs follow relatively poor performance. Look at Liverpool in 13/14 - 36 points in the 1st 19 games and then 48 points in the 2nd 19 games and a record of 15-3-1.

 

[cleavers]

Whilst agreeing there is a high probability 85 points will be enough, sometimes crazy runs follow relatively poor performance. Look at Liverpool in 13/14 - 36 points in the 1st 19 games and then 48 points in the 2nd 19 games and a record of 15-3-1.

Pity for them then, that they don't have 19 games left ;-)

For Liverpool to get to 85 points, they have to lose less than 0.5 points per game, from now till May, so any draw is worth more than 4 games, and a defeat more than 6 games. They won't win them all, or get close to winning them all, nobody will.

 

[MillionMilesAway]

And you have to understand that all these sides have to face each other as well and of course at least one side must drop points namely 3 or both sides drop 2.

Who would put decent money on Manure going 12-2-2 from now on and again if they do they finish on 85 points yes 85 points.

They have to play Chelsea , Spurs , Liverpool , Arsenal and the title winners elect.

They have dropped points in 8 of their 22 games to date and given their fixtures to drop points in 4 of their last 16 is far more likely than not.

I look at it that there are 16 matches to go, and City need to lose 5 to restore parity as of now, and that requires the next team to win all 5.
After that, you'd assume that every team will drop 4 points at least in those 15-16 matches, meaning City need to lose another 2 (at least).

So 7 defeats in 16 matches to even open the door.

 

[purplenose]

The fact is that once we got to 10 points in front the race was all but run, the results over Xmas killed it stone dead.

 

[aguero93:20]

It's starting to look like 85 will be enough.

 

[BLUEMATT23]

It's starting to look like 85 will be enough.

So in essence 8 wins?
Average needed in last 10 seasons has been 87.

 

[worsleyweb]

So in essence 8 wins?
Average needed in last 10 seasons has been 87.

We have 8 games that look very winnable. Win tommorow and it’s game over.

 

[frasermcfc]

So in essence 8 wins?
Average needed in last 10 seasons has been 87.

Even the most pessimistic City fan would struggle to make a case for any of the challengers reaching 87 points

 

[aguero93:20]

So in essence 8 wins?
Average needed in last 10 seasons has been 87.

That's the average points of the team in first, very few teams will have finished second on 86 or more points and I can't see any of the pack this year doing it. Chavs dropped points today, rags have Spurs away in a few games and they'll all drop points when the CL starts again.

 

[worsleyweb]

Let’s just get any points tommorow!