How many points to win the league?

I thought Liverpool had already won it yesterday by the reaction at the final whistle and that twat Tyler.
 
Just ran through a league predictor, being relatively pessimistic for City and optimistic for the rags. We still won the league by 7 points. I had us losing at Arsenal and Spurs, drawing at Everton and drawing at home v Chelsea and the rags, and the rags going unbeaten and only drawing with Spurs and us. Sorry to say to all those who took a punt, we didn't make it to 100 goals, though!
 
lazza said:
Just ran through a league predictor, being relatively pessimistic for City and optimistic for the rags. We still won the league by 7 points. I had us losing at Arsenal and Spurs, drawing at Everton and drawing at home v Chelsea and the rags, and the rags going unbeaten and only drawing with Spurs and us. Sorry to say to all those who took a punt, we didn't make it to 100 goals, though!
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Bastard. You're now going onto my ignore list
 
My mate has a seven month old lad,who'd never seen us lose.I said what about the Shakter game,he said he slept all the way through it.Typical city humour.
 
Are we having a MOTM thread?
I'm gagging to give Bernardo the vote. 0nly on from the 71st minute but he turned the match on it's head.
 
Home matches remaining:

Newcastle, WBA, Leicester, Chelsea, Brighton, United, Swansea, Huddersfield.

Away matches remaining:

Burnley, Arsenal, Stoke, Everton, Spurs, West Ham, Southampton.

Let's say we take 6W, 2D at home and even 2W, 3D, 2L away. That's 2.5 points per game at home and 1.29 point per game away (this season we're averaging 2.82 points per game at home and 2.58 points per game away). 8W, 5D, 2L. Those results in the next 15 would project out to 73 or 74 points for a full, 38-match season.

Even under that unlikely scenario we still finish on 91 points. With our far superior goal difference practically clinching the tiebreaker for us, any title challenger would need 92, meaning:

The rags need 45 of a possible 48 points.
Liverpool need 45 of a possible 45 points.
Chelsea need 45 of a possible 45 points.
Spurs can't even mathematically reach that total.
Arsenal are irrelevant.

At this point it is about staying as healthy as possible, bringing in a player or two this month, and wrapping the title up as soon as possible to be able to play strong sides in the FA Cup and the Champions League.
 
lazza said:
Just ran through a league predictor, being relatively pessimistic for City and optimistic for the rags. We still won the league by 7 points. I had us losing at Arsenal and Spurs, drawing at Everton and drawing at home v Chelsea and the rags, and the rags going unbeaten and only drawing with Spurs and us. Sorry to say to all those who took a punt, we didn't make it to 100 goals, though!
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If we lose 12 points and the rags lose 4 for the rest of the season, the gap would be 4 points wouldn't it?
 
1 Man City 62 +50
2 Man Utd 50 +32
3 Liverpool 47 +26
4 Chelsea 47 +25
5 Spurs 44 +25
6 Arsenal 39 +11

Surely it's only united who can realistically catch us now.
 
As long as we keep the points lead over 2nd place no lower than 12 points (which would be a hard task in itself of course), we only need to win our next 12 games (up to game 35, the home game against Swansea) to win the title at 98 points. Which would mean that even if we lost the last 3 games of the season, we would still win the title. This assumes of course that United does not f**k up (i.e. draw/lose more times than we do) between now and the 34th game. Realistically speaking I feel that there is a good chance the title might actually be won at the Manchester Derby game (at home) on the 7th of April considering how inconsistant (compared to us) United have been this season.
 
Personally 87 points is what I think we could finish on in our worse case scenario, rags and chelsea wont get more than 85

It may be a little tighter than we think (9 points), but sill have it won by easter.
 
1Manchester said:
As long as we keep the points lead over 2nd place no lower than 12 points (which would be a hard task in itself of course), we only need to win our next 12 games (up to game 35, the home game against Swansea) to win the title at 98 points. Which would mean that even if we lost the last 3 games of the season, we would still win the title. This assumes of course that United does not f**k up (i.e. draw/lose more times than we do) between now and the 34th game. Realistically speaking I feel that there is a good chance the title might actually be won at the Manchester Derby game (at home) on the 7th of April considering how inconsistant (compared to us) United have been this season.
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We play united the first week of April (33rd league game, subject to FA and CFLC postponements) so one team or both will definitely drop points
 
i don't think this is anywhere near as easy as people think. We have a really tough set of remaining games in my opinion. Going to be much closer than it is now. I just did a predictor and had us one point above the rags and we had to win at Saints on the last day. The rags have 10 games that they will most likely win.
 
worsleyweb said:
i don't think this is anywhere near as easy as people think. We have a really tough set of remaining games in my opinion. Going to be much closer than it is now. I just did a predictor and had us one point above the rags and we had to win at Saints on the last day. The rags have 10 games that they will most likely win.
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I think it will be close if we see a continuation of the defensive mistakes that are creeping back into our game. If we take a deep breath, focus and put in two or three really good performances in th3 next three games we will be fine.
 
BJL_City said:
just use this: http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/
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Think we probably scored too many goals.

1
1267.gif
Manchester City 38 32 3 3 112:29 83 99
2
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Chelsea FC 38 25 7 6 78:32 46 82
3
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Liverpool FC 38 22 14 2 89:43 46 80
4
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Manchester United 38 24 8 6 78:33 45 80
5
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Tottenham Hotspur 38 23 9 6 86:40 46 78
6
127.gif
Arsenal FC 38 22 10 6 73:44 29 76
7
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Leicester City 38 17 11 10 63:49 14 62
8
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Burnley FC 38 12 12 14 35:42 -7 48
9
573.gif
Everton FC 38 12 12 14 41:54 -13 48
10
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West Ham United 38 9 14 15 49:68 -19 41
11
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Crystal Palace 38 8 15 15 41:57 -16 39
12
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Newcastle United 38 10 9 19 40:57 -17 39
13
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AFC Bournemouth 38 10 9 19 41:60 -19 39
14
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Huddersfield Town 38 9 10 19 34:69 -35 37
15
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Watford FC 38 8 10 20 47:73 -26 34
16
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Stoke City 38 8 10 20 36:72 -36 34
17
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Brighton & Hove Albion 38 7 12 19 31:58 -27 33
18
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Southampton FC 38 5 15 18 39:66 -27 30
19
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West Bromwich Albion 38 5 14 19 35:63 -28 29
20
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Swansea City 38 7 6 25 27:66 -39 28
 
15 games left.

Assumption based on taking a look at the remaining fixtures, and being very pessimistic for us:

Worst case for us W7 D5 L3

Dippers best case W13 D2 L0

Rags best case W11 D4 L0

We win the league above the Dippers. Both on 88 points, but we have a superior goal difference
 
Scouse Blue said:
15 games left.

Assumption based on taking a look at the remaining fixtures, and being very pessimistic for us:

Worst case for us W7 D5 L3

Dippers best case W13 D2 L0

Rags best case W11 D4 L0

We win the league above the Dippers. Both on 88 points, but we have a superior goal difference
Click to expand...
Dippers still have to go to rags.......nasty
Rags still have to come to us ......nasty.
No flap 8 wins and 7 defeats for us would still cause massive problems for chasers.
After me...its in the bag in the bag......repeat ad nausea
 
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