How many trophies will we win?

[Blue Hefner]

League Cup - won
FA Cup - Winners or runners-up. I think we will win it
League - winners or runners-up. I think we will be runners up
CL - Quarter Finals or better. I can see us getting to the final.

That is some season regardless of the actual outcomes

 

[ladcameo]

League Cup - won
FA Cup - Winners or runners-up. I think we will win it
League - winners or runners-up. I think we will be runners up
CL - Quarter Finals or better. I can see us getting to the final.

That is some season regardless of the actual outcomes

I think this is a very realistic expectations and anything which comes above that is a huge boost. Am certainly awaiting for a Champions League and also a treble surely.

 

[FrankSwift1]

After getting to the FA Cup Final, we're now at 5 or 6% for the quadruple.

I'll be optimistic just to stress how difficult this will be

FA Cup: 70%
Premier League: 55%
Champions League: Spurs 65%, Semis 50%, Final 50%

That gets you to 6%. If anything it should really be less as if we go all the way in all comps, the league is going to get very difficult. Playing a Brighton at Wembley and recovering from it is one thing, but playing a Spurs or Juventus CL semi-final is another. Remember the impact of the Liverpool CL quarter-final last season?

FA Cup.

If we played the final 100 times I would go at normal time. 70 wins 20 draws 10 loses. extra time for the 20 draws about same ratio so 14 4 2. Pens 50/50

So that gives 86% chance of winning it.

League.

I think this is 50/50

CL.

It sounds arrogant but I see us a much better than Spurs and winning the tie 3/4 so 75%.

In a CL tie or one off final my percentages are-

Juventus 55%
Ajax 60%.
Bara 45%
Liverpool 50%
Porto 75%
Utd hahahhaaha 100% (65% really)

so

Juve/Barca 8%
Ajax/Barca 9%
Juve/Liverpool 9%
Ajax/Liverpool 10%
Juve/Porto 13%
Ajax/Porto 14%
Juve/Utd 11%
Ajax/Utd 12%

All a bit of fun at the moment. Still very unlikely but we can dream.

After we play Utd in 15 days will have a much clearer idea of where we are. Personally I think that the league will be out of hands after that game but we will be through to the semi final of the CL.

What ever happens we’ve had an amazing season up until now and I’m going to try and take it all in and enjoy it.

Come on City!

 

[Saddleworth2]

Might need to check those stats again as we lost to Newcastle :)

Over both games we drew, 3-3.

 

[Marvin]

FA Cup.

If we played the final 100 times I would go at normal time. 70 wins 20 draws 10 loses. extra time for the 20 draws about same ratio so 14 4 2. Pens 50/50

So that gives 86% chance of winning it.

League.

I think this is 50/50

CL.

It sounds arrogant but I see us a much better than Spurs and winning the tie 3/4 so 75%.

In a CL tie or one off final my percentages are-

Juventus 55%
Ajax 60%.
Bara 45%
Liverpool 50%
Porto 75%
Utd hahahhaaha 100% (65% really)

so

Juve/Barca 8%
Ajax/Barca 9%
Juve/Liverpool 9%
Ajax/Liverpool 10%
Juve/Porto 13%
Ajax/Porto 14%
Juve/Utd 11%
Ajax/Utd 12%

All a bit of fun at the moment. Still very unlikely but we can dream.

After we play Utd in 15 days will have a much clearer idea of where we are. Personally I think that the league will be out of hands after that game but we will be through to the semi final of the CL.

What ever happens we’ve had an amazing season up until now and I’m going to try and take it all in and enjoy it.

Come on City!

So have I summarised your view correctly?
League: 50%
FA Cup: 86%
CL: Spurs 75%, Juve (semi-final) 55%, Barca (final) 45% (There are other semi-final and final permutations, but keeping it simple gone with likeliest opponents).

That comes to 8% for the quadruple. I have it at 5-6%

This is why Pep keeps telling the media it's not happening. When it falls apart, they are going to bury City. "Pep's a failure until he wins the Champions League."

 

[FrankSwift1]

So have I summarised your view correctly?
League: 50%
FA Cup: 86%
CL: Spurs 75%, Juve (semi-final) 55%, Barca (final) 45% (There are other semi-final and final permutations, but keeping it simple gone with likeliest opponents).

That comes to 8% for the quadruple. I have it at 5-6%

This is why Pep keeps telling the media it's not happening. When it falls apart, they are going to bury City. "Pep's a failure until he wins the Champions League."

Yes 8% chance against our most likely oponents. So agree very unlikely at this stage.

A big win tonight for both us and Liverpool. We beat Palace Liverpooldraw/lose with Chelsea and 'IT'S ON!' OR maybe about 12% chance. It's a fun game to play.

Agree their building us up. He's playing it correctly IMO. My favorite for this was Mancini and 'Utd are favories' even after we had beaten Newcastle and had an easy (cough) home game left.

Another way to look at this is IF with 3 games to go if we had to beat Brighton, Watford and the weakest team left in CL Porto to do the Quinn what would the odds be? I'd have us at 80%x86%X75% = 52% so only about 1 in 2 even at that late stage.

 

[The slaughtered lamb]

Yes 8% chance against our most likely oponents. So agree very unlikely at this stage.

A big win tonight for both us and Liverpool. We beat Palace Liverpooldraw/lose with Chelsea and 'IT'S ON!' OR maybe about 12% chance. It's a fun game to play.

Agree their building us up. He's playing it correctly IMO. My favorite for this was Mancini and 'Utd are favories' even after we had beaten Newcastle and had an easy (cough) home game left.

Another way to look at this is IF with 3 games to go if we had to beat Brighton, Watford and the weakest team left in CL Porto to do the Quinn what would the odds be? I'd have us at 80%x86%X75% = 52% so only about 1 in 2 even at that late stage.

Very true, I had us at 53%. Puts it in perspective when we're quite a way away yet.

 

[KCblue]

FA Cup.

If we played the final 100 times I would go at normal time. 70 wins 20 draws 10 loses. extra time for the 20 draws about same ratio so 14 4 2. Pens 50/50

So that gives 86% chance of winning it.

League.

I think this is 50/50

CL.

It sounds arrogant but I see us a much better than Spurs and winning the tie 3/4 so 75%.

In a CL tie or one off final my percentages are-

Juventus 55%
Ajax 60%.
Bara 45%
Liverpool 50%
Porto 75%
Utd hahahhaaha 100% (65% really)

so

Juve/Barca 8%
Ajax/Barca 9%
Juve/Liverpool 9%
Ajax/Liverpool 10%
Juve/Porto 13%
Ajax/Porto 14%
Juve/Utd 11%
Ajax/Utd 12%

All a bit of fun at the moment. Still very unlikely but we can dream.

After we play Utd in 15 days will have a much clearer idea of where we are. Personally I think that the league will be out of hands after that game but we will be through to the semi final of the CL.

What ever happens we’ve had an amazing season up until now and I’m going to try and take it all in and enjoy it.

Come on City!

Imagine the piss that would boil if our knockout draws to win the Champions League were Schalke, Spurs, Ajax, Porto. I hope it happens just for the reactions

 

[aguero93:20]

Imagine the piss that would boil if our knockout draws to win the Champions League were Schalke, Spurs, Ajax, Porto. I hope it happens just for the reactions

It would almost be as jammy as beating Brugge, BMG, Benfica, Dresden and getting a bye in one round. Or maybe playing against Dundalk and a Finnish 10 pin bowling club.

 

[KCblue]

It would almost be as jammy as beating Brugge, BMG, Benfica, Dresden and getting a bye in one round. Or maybe playing against Dundalk and a Finnish 10 pin bowling club.

Or winning the Europa League after finishing second in a group consisting of Feyenoord, Zorya Luhansk, and Fenerbahce and then getting Saint-Etienne, Rostov, Anderlecht, and Celta Vigo in the knockouts and Ajax in the final.