Really don't like Aintree, the poor man's Cheltenham. Still, I'll be there Thursday and Saturday.
If it's of any help to blues who don't follow the racing, I've just sent this to my cousin likes a bet but knows nothing about horses
The race ‘trends’ are a good way of narrowing the field. Essentially, if you consider the profile of past winners, you begin to see patterns which can be considered to be significant. Don’t get too drawn in by price, the 2009 winner, Mon Mome (100/1), was a better fit for these trends than last’s winner which was 10/1.
Based on the last 15 years, you should want something:
• Carrying less 11’1 or less
• Aged between 8-11
• Last raced around 20-45 days prior to the race
• Been to Aintree before
• Jockey should have ridden horse before (preferably this calendar year)
• Raced over at least 3miles (24 furlongs), with further respect to those that have won over this distance.
• Had a least 10 starts over fences
• Placed (top 4 finish) in the last five starts
• Won a class one race
Don’t worry if the seasonal form isn’t that great, most winners of this had not scored in the racing season (from the previous Autumn).
The RP website will carry all of the information to narrow it down on the criteria above. I'll do a couple, but Arbour Supreme is certainly interesting. Right at the bottom of the weights, raced against current fav last time and only lost by length when carrying the same weight (now 10lb to the good) ticks a lot of the boxes above and value at 20s
If it's of any help to blues who don't follow the racing, I've just sent this to my cousin likes a bet but knows nothing about horses
The race ‘trends’ are a good way of narrowing the field. Essentially, if you consider the profile of past winners, you begin to see patterns which can be considered to be significant. Don’t get too drawn in by price, the 2009 winner, Mon Mome (100/1), was a better fit for these trends than last’s winner which was 10/1.
Based on the last 15 years, you should want something:
• Carrying less 11’1 or less
• Aged between 8-11
• Last raced around 20-45 days prior to the race
• Been to Aintree before
• Jockey should have ridden horse before (preferably this calendar year)
• Raced over at least 3miles (24 furlongs), with further respect to those that have won over this distance.
• Had a least 10 starts over fences
• Placed (top 4 finish) in the last five starts
• Won a class one race
Don’t worry if the seasonal form isn’t that great, most winners of this had not scored in the racing season (from the previous Autumn).
The RP website will carry all of the information to narrow it down on the criteria above. I'll do a couple, but Arbour Supreme is certainly interesting. Right at the bottom of the weights, raced against current fav last time and only lost by length when carrying the same weight (now 10lb to the good) ticks a lot of the boxes above and value at 20s