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Raheem Sterling to Manchester City: £50m signing from Liverpool would be a waste of money, research suggests
Manchester City's pursuit of Raheem Sterling continues, despite having a £40m bid rebuffed by
Liverpool.
The Anfield hierarchy are
holding out for an offer of £50m before sanctioning the sale of the want-away England international - a fee that Manchester City may ultimately agree to meet.
Should a deal at that price go through it would make the 20-year-old the most expensive Englishman in history and the most big-spending Manchester City have ever spent on a player.
But is he worth it?
The Independent teamed up with the makers of
Football Manager to run simulations of the upcoming season to try and find out. The 2015/16 Premier League was played through twice - once with Sterling in the Manchester City team and once without.
In both seasons, Manchester City finished as they did this season - as runners up to eventual champions Chelsea.
There was a slight improvement in terms of points, with the side with Sterling accruing 80 compared to 78 without. That means each extra point would cost Manchester City £25m if they bought Sterling for £50m.
The simulation run with Sterling in the side for all 38 league matches suggested he would score nine time and create seven assists. Failing to win a single man-of-the-match award, his average match rating is 7.06 - making his the eighth best player at the end of the season. Unsurprisingly Aguero his their top performer.
The research by Sports Interactive, the makers of
Football Manager, uses a vast database compiled by approximately 1,000 researchers across the world (including real-life scouts) to blend reality and fiction and is used by real life managers. It appears to back up warnings that a move for Sterling, who at Liverpool is considered a leading player, could impede his progress. If he were to rank as Manchester City's eighth best player, he could soon find himself warming the bench at a club where competition for places is fierce.