never thought we cannot make top8 after I was delighted with the draw we got. right now its more likely we wonnt do top8. 16 points is about the get in mount of points. we have 8 points and 3 games left. beating PSG and Juventus both away from home is not possible in current form. beating Brugge should be simple as was Feyenoord. origanlly calculated with 3 points in Sporting game and Feyenoord allowing us two draws vs PSG and Juventus. but now these games turned must wins.
unlikely 15 points is enough maybe in some rare scenario with the best GD if there are only 7 teams are on 16+ points. we cannot finish on 16 points anyway now either 17 or 15 the best possible points.
but go to Juventus next gamee with the need of a win they will happily sit back and counter us and that we wont like as they wont concede 3 like Feyenoord but can score from 2 as well from 3-4 shots vs Ederson.
having said that the table will be extremely close on the bottom end as well around 24th place, 11 points may be enough to reach that but could be 12 too. beating Brugge and not losing both harder ones gets that sorted for us but being anywhere between 20-24th in this system is a sucker, we start at home and decide the tie away vs a club that just missed out on top8. all this exercise just to get into the last 16. with the risk of fucking up and playing 10 games not even get there.