Next Labour Leader - Miliband Resigns

[Henkeman]

That particular vote-off would mirror the Miliband contest last time and another 'left wing' triumph would be an even greater disaster for the Labour Party.

I'm starting to come to the conclusion that they need this, they need to go properly left wing so they can see what happens and move on.

 

[cibaman]

Not sure it's quite as simple as that - it depends how the second preferences are distributed by the supporters of each candidate. That could be better for Corbyn, or worse, the poll hasn't gone into detail on it.

So for example, assuming Liz Kendall is the first one eliminated, very few of her second preferences will go to Corbyn, but the numbers are small enough not to be decisive. But if it Andy Burnham who goes out next, that's where it gets interesting, as you'd imagine more of his support would go to Corbyn than would Yvette Cooper's.

Be interesting to see a poll that tries to break down how this support is allocated. My suspicion is that for Corbyn to have his best chance, he's better up against Cooper in the run off than Burnham.

As far as Corbyn's concerned does it matter who goes out in the 3rd round? Wont the 2nd/3rd prefs of the other candidates all be divvied up so that ultimately it will be Corbyn v Cooper or Burnham and that a Corbyn victory will depend on him getting enough 2nd/3rd preferences from the other three to get over the line? Or have I missed something?

 

[Henkeman]

As far as Corbyn's concerned does it matter who goes out in the 3rd round? Wont the 2nd/3rd prefs of the other candidates all be divvied up so that ultimately it will be Corbyn v Cooper or Burnham and that a Corbyn victory will depend on him getting enough 2nd/3rd preferences from the other three to get over the line? Or have I missed something?

It matters in the sense of who the supporters of the candidate who goes out second (i.e. after Kendall) are more inclined to vote for. It's an unknown, that was just me guessing. But I'd have thought that Burnham supporters would be more inclined to give their second preferences to Corbyn than Cooper ones. It's just a hypothesis.

 

[kas_tippler]

Too busy being oppressed and bringing up their children.

Breeding feral children at the tax payers expense!

 

[Lucky13]

Breeding feral children at the tax payers expense!

I prefer the phrase , income tax payers .

 

[totallywired]

Mine and rascals in joke as stated. You know, the only guy on here left of you.

Not sure you sit at many tables do you.

Don't hate me because I'm beautiful and you have black lung from t'mine.

Ps, all this arf arf-ing, are you a dog, or coughing?

Come on baldy you can do better than that.

 

[Ancient Citizen]

I'm starting to come to the conclusion that they need this, they need to go properly left wing so they can see what happens and move on.

I concur, if they go for Corbyn they will very quickly learn that, far from swathes of the country suddenly becoming excited at the prospect of a socialist paradise, their chances of election will be about as good as Bruce Forsyth seeing in the next millenium.

 

[SWP's back]

Come on baldy you can do better than that.

Aussies are 94-7.

Impossible to annoy me right now. Enjoy the rest of your day off.

 

[Rascal]

I prefer the phrase , income tax payers .

I was unaware that bestowed special status upon the person.

No doubt you are against taking people out of income tax then as they then become 2nd class citizens like pensioners. Pretty disgraceful that you see huge swathes of decent people as 2nd class citizens.

Shame on you.

 

[kas_tippler]

I prefer the phrase , income tax payers .

Don't forget corporation tax and council tax.